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Tag

monetary policy

36 articles

CBN Splits Liquidity Management From Inflation Fight in Money Market Overhaul
Research & AnalysisYesterday
CBN Splits Liquidity Management From Inflation Fight in Money Market Overhaul
Nigeria's central bank opened OMO auctions to individuals and firms and lifted key bank borrowing restrictions, separating daily cash management from its rate-driven inflation strategy.
Japan's Producer Prices Rose 7.1 Percent in June, Lifting October BOJ Hike Bets
Research & Analysis2d ago
Japan's Producer Prices Rose 7.1 Percent in June, Lifting October BOJ Hike Bets
Japan's corporate goods price index climbed 7.1 percent in June, beating forecasts and reinforcing market expectations for a Bank of Japan rate increase by October.
RBA Set to Hold 4.35 Percent Cash Rate — Futures Price 58 Percent Chance of Later Hike
Macro & Rates2d ago
RBA Set to Hold 4.35 Percent Cash Rate — Futures Price 58 Percent Chance of Later Hike
Governor Michele Bullock and Assistant Governor Christopher Kent face parliamentary and media scrutiny later this week as the Australian dollar slips after six straight weeks of gains.
RBA Holds at 4.35%, Bullock Flags Hikes; Swaps Price 50% Chance of November Move
Macro & Rates2d ago
RBA Holds at 4.35%, Bullock Flags Hikes; Swaps Price 50% Chance of November Move
Australia's central bank held its cash rate steady but Governor Michele Bullock said hikes remain possible, pushing three-year yields up 2 basis points and lifting late-2026 hike odds.
Japan's $100 Billion in Yen Interventions Fail to Halt Slide Toward 160
Research & Analysis3d ago
Japan's $100 Billion in Yen Interventions Fail to Halt Slide Toward 160
Japanese authorities have spent over $100 billion defending the yen, including a rare July 28 joint intervention with the U.S., yet the currency continues depreciating toward 160 per dollar.
Fed's Forward Guidance Retreat Raises Volatility Risk, With Canada's Post-2008 Shift as Precedent
Research & Analysis3d ago
Fed's Forward Guidance Retreat Raises Volatility Risk, With Canada's Post-2008 Shift as Precedent
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's reduced forward guidance is generating market uncertainty, prompting analysts to cite Canada's post-2008 central bank policy as a historical parallel.
Trump Targets Fed Governor Cook; Futures Price 75 Percent Chance of Hike by November
Macro & Rates3d ago
Trump Targets Fed Governor Cook; Futures Price 75 Percent Chance of Hike by November
The White House gave Lisa Cook three weeks to respond to mortgage fraud allegations, raising fresh questions about Fed independence ahead of the Sept. 15-16 policy meeting.
Yen Weakens Past 158 Per Dollar as $87 Billion Intervention Fails to Reverse Structural Decline
Research & Analysis4d ago
Yen Weakens Past 158 Per Dollar as $87 Billion Intervention Fails to Reverse Structural Decline
Japan's currency fell 0.5 percent against the dollar in August, reversing a 3.2 percent July gain, as interest rate differentials and fiscal concerns override official action.
Egypt's Inflation Rises for First Time Since March as Rent and Fuel Costs Climb
Research & Analysis4d ago
Egypt's Inflation Rises for First Time Since March as Rent and Fuel Costs Climb
The acceleration, driven by rent and fuel price hikes, raises the likelihood that authorities will hold interest rates steady at their next meeting.
July Jobs Loss Shifts Fed Rate Outlook, Lifts U.S. Futures
Research & Analysis7d ago
July Jobs Loss Shifts Fed Rate Outlook, Lifts U.S. Futures
An unexpected contraction in July employment pushed traders to raise bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut, lifting futures and commodity prices.
India's Inflation Cushion Is Thinner Than Official Data Shows
Research & Analysis9d ago
India's Inflation Cushion Is Thinner Than Official Data Shows
The Reserve Bank of India held its benchmark rate for a fourth straight review as energy costs and a consumer inflation gap of 3-plus percentage points signal growing pressure beneath the headline numbers.
U.S.-Japan Yen Intervention Marks First Joint Currency Action in Two Decades
Research & Analysis12d ago
U.S.-Japan Yen Intervention Marks First Joint Currency Action in Two Decades
The U.S. Treasury's participation in last week's yen-buying operation marks a departure from Washington's long-standing non-intervention stance.
BOJ Holds at 0.1 Percent, Raises Growth Forecast — Next Hike Awaits Wage and Inflation Data
Research & Analysis14d ago
BOJ Holds at 0.1 Percent, Raises Growth Forecast — Next Hike Awaits Wage and Inflation Data
Japan's central bank held its policy rate and upgraded its growth outlook as investors, including Amundi Japan's Hiromi Ishihara, await concrete inflation and wage signals.
Tokyo Core CPI Grows to 2.3% in July, Keeping BOJ Fall Hike on the Table
Macro & Rates15d ago
Tokyo Core CPI Grows to 2.3% in July, Keeping BOJ Fall Hike on the Table
Tokyo's core inflation quickened for the second straight month, reinforcing expectations for a Bank of Japan rate increase this fall despite a widely expected pause Friday
10-Year Treasury Yield Holds at 4.78% as Sticky Inflation, Strong Jobs Data Back Fed's Hawkish
Research & Analysis15d ago
10-Year Treasury Yield Holds at 4.78% as Sticky Inflation, Strong Jobs Data Back Fed's Hawkish
The 10-year Treasury yield held at 4.78 percent after a 15-basis-point surge, as July CPI at 3.8 percent and 250,000 new payroll jobs reinforced the Fed's higher-for-longer posture.
Bank of Russia Cuts Key Rate 25 BPS to 14% as Drone Strikes Strain Economy
Macro & Rates21d ago
Bank of Russia Cuts Key Rate 25 BPS to 14% as Drone Strikes Strain Economy
Moscow shifts toward growth stimulus, accepting higher inflation risk as Ukrainian drone attacks erode refining capacity and supply chains.
Oil at 18-Month High Drives Bond Yields Higher as Inflation Fears Return
Research & Analysis21d ago
Oil at 18-Month High Drives Bond Yields Higher as Inflation Fears Return
Brent crude rose 4.2 percent this week to $95 per barrel, pushing the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield up 18 basis points as markets price in a longer stretch of restrictive policy.
Yen's Trade-Weighted Index Falls Broadly as BOJ Policy Divergence Widens
Macro & Rates23d ago
Yen's Trade-Weighted Index Falls Broadly as BOJ Policy Divergence Widens
The yen's broad decline against major trading partners reflects sustained pressure from global interest rate differentials and the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy stance.
Trump-Warsh Fed Clash Threatens Tech Stock Valuations
U.S. Equities82d ago
Trump-Warsh Fed Clash Threatens Tech Stock Valuations
A confrontation between President Donald Trump and potential Fed Chair Kevin Warsh would create monetary policy uncertainty, hitting rate-sensitive growth stocks
HSBC Calls for Pre-Emptive Rate Hikes as Supply Shocks Risk Higher Inflation
Macro & Rates83d ago
HSBC Calls for Pre-Emptive Rate Hikes as Supply Shocks Risk Higher Inflation
Bank's economists warn persistent supply chain disruptions risk embedding higher inflation expectations, necessitating immediate central bank action
Core PCE Jumps 0.4% in April—Futures Price No Cut Until December
Macro & Rates83d ago
Core PCE Jumps 0.4% in April—Futures Price No Cut Until December
Treasury yields rose across the curve as inflation data exceeded expectations, pushing back market probabilities for Federal Reserve easing
Warsh Elected FOMC Chair; Two-Year Yield Rises 10 Bps to 4.95 Percent
Macro & Rates84d ago
Warsh Elected FOMC Chair; Two-Year Yield Rises 10 Bps to 4.95 Percent
President Trump's appointment of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee immediately shifts market expectations toward a more restrictive monetary policy stance
China Retail Sales Miss at 3.8% as Industrial Output Slows to 4.6%
Macro & Rates89d ago
China Retail Sales Miss at 3.8% as Industrial Output Slows to 4.6%
April data confirms deepening consumption slump, increasing pressure on People's Bank of China for monetary easing
BOJ's Himino Calls for Global Monetary System Overhaul as Rate Divergence Widens Spreads
Macro & Rates90d ago
BOJ's Himino Calls for Global Monetary System Overhaul as Rate Divergence Widens Spreads
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Himino advocates for unified global monetary policy approach, citing financial stability risks from current divergences
Alphabet's ¥250 Billion Bond Sale Tests Yen Carry Trade Stability
Macro & Rates92d ago
Alphabet's ¥250 Billion Bond Sale Tests Yen Carry Trade Stability
The tech giant's record offering, the largest by a foreign issuer in Japan, shows corporations locking in low-cost funding as rate differentials widen
Wealth Inequality Backlash: Policy Risks Mount as Property Owners Feel Vilified, 10Y Yields Test Resistance
Macro & Rates96d ago
Wealth Inequality Backlash: Policy Risks Mount as Property Owners Feel Vilified, 10Y Yields Test Resistance
The growing resentment among affluent property holders, highlighted by recent reports
Asian Markets Draw Institutional Capital as Duration Risk Mounts in U.S. Treasuries
Macro & Rates97d ago
Asian Markets Draw Institutional Capital as Duration Risk Mounts in U.S. Treasuries
Fund managers reallocate toward Asian equities and bonds, seeking lower valuations and easing cycles as Fed maintains higher-for-longer stance
CPI Data Expected to Confirm Inflation Stickiness, Curve Flattening Likely
Macro & Rates97d ago
CPI Data Expected to Confirm Inflation Stickiness, Curve Flattening Likely
Consumer Price Index figures are anticipated to reinforce persistent inflation, tightening duration risk for bondholders and solidifying the Fed's higher-for-longer stance
Williams Affirms Fed Policy Adequacy — Yields Hold Firm Amidst Economic Uncertainty
Macro & Rates102d ago
Williams Affirms Fed Policy Adequacy — Yields Hold Firm Amidst Economic Uncertainty
New York Fed President John Williams stated the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is appropriately calibrated for current economic risks, signaling a sustained higher-for-longer rate environment.
Yield Curve Pressures Capital Allocators, Complicating Berkshire Hathaway's Transition
Macro & Rates103d ago
Yield Curve Pressures Capital Allocators, Complicating Berkshire Hathaway's Transition
The enduring challenge of generating superior returns in a "higher for longer" rate environment exacerbates the strategic shift at one of the world's largest holding companies.
Energy Shock Meets AI Wave, Driving Yield Curve Volatility Amid Inflationary Pressures
Macro & Rates105d ago
Energy Shock Meets AI Wave, Driving Yield Curve Volatility Amid Inflationary Pressures
Economic crosscurrents intensify as a surge in energy prices clashes with the burgeoning AI sector, creating divergent market reactions and significant duration risk for fixed income portfolios.
Brazil's Inflation Battle Intensifies as Global Capital Courts Emerging Markets
Macro & Rates111d ago
Brazil's Inflation Battle Intensifies as Global Capital Courts Emerging Markets
Persistent price pressures and surging foreign interest challenge the Banco Central do Brasil's monetary policy framework, driving volatility in local fixed income.
Digital Euro Advances: Cipollone Speech Prompts Central Bank Disintermediation Debate
Macro & Rates121d ago
Digital Euro Advances: Cipollone Speech Prompts Central Bank Disintermediation Debate
ECB Executive Board member Piero Cipollone's address on the digital euro at the Atlantic Council underscores the accelerating shift towards central bank digital currencies and their profound implications for financial markets and monetary policy.
Warsh's Fed Trajectory Puts Financials on Alert, Tech Sector Under Pressure
U.S. Equities121d ago
Warsh's Fed Trajectory Puts Financials on Alert, Tech Sector Under Pressure
The shifting prospects for Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve introduce significant policy uncertainty, prompting investors to re-evaluate sector exposures and inflation hedges.
Warsh Fed Chair Hearing: Tech Valuations Under Scrutiny as Hawkish Outlook Emerges
U.S. Equities122d ago
Warsh Fed Chair Hearing: Tech Valuations Under Scrutiny as Hawkish Outlook Emerges
President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh faces Senate scrutiny next week, signaling potential shifts in monetary policy that could reprice growth equities and reshape sector leadership
White House Plea Talks Spark Market Uncertainty
Macro & Rates129d ago
White House Plea Talks Spark Market Uncertainty
Reports of a lobbyist connected to a Presidential pardon entering plea negotiations inject fresh political uncertainty into markets, prompting a cautious recalibration of rate expectations.