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Federal Reserve

Rates, inflation, and the FOMC — the central bank that prices every asset

30 stories · Updated 18h ago

Every asset on this site — stocks, Bitcoin, bonds, housing — is priced off decisions made in one building in Washington. This hub gathers the Macro & Rates desk’s Federal Reserve coverage: FOMC meetings, the rate path, inflation prints, and the constant tug-of-war between the Fed, the markets, and the White House. If you want to know why everything moved today, the answer usually starts here.

Federal Reserve

ECB, BOE Rate Hike Bets Surge: Germany Two-Year Yield Hits 3.08%

Saudi Pipeline Outage Drives Oil Above $107; Inflation Risk Reignites Rate Debate

McConnell Returns, But Treasury Market Eyes Inflation, Not Leadership

Pakistan Holds Rate at 11.5% as Inflation Stays Above 11%

Copper Spot Premium Collapses to $4.50 as Rate Hike Bets Surge

India August CPI at 4.82% Shows October Rate Hike — Futures Price 72% Odds

BOJ Shows Persistent Inflation From Supply Shocks Justifies Rate Vigilance

Oil Surge, Sticky Inflation Push Asia Equities Lower; Yield Curves Steepen

10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.9%, Eyes 5% as Oil, Inflation Persist

Hormuz Attack Report Sends Oil Higher, Pressures Fed on Rate Cuts

Boeing Engineers Win Wage Gains — Bond Market Watches Inflation Spillover

Saudi Pipeline Closure Tightens Oil Markets, Threatens Inflation Targets

Consumer Sentiment Collapses to 47.8; 12-Month Inflation Bets Surge to 4.6%

UK July GDP at 0.4% Clears Bar — BoE Rate Cut Odds Compress

Oil Retreat Lifts Equities as Inflation Holds Above Fed Target

Warsh's 'Inflation is a Choice' Shows Higher-For-Longer — Duration Risk Rises

PPI Beat, Oil Surge Trigger September Rate Hike Bet; Semis, Tech Crack

Japan's Producer Prices Hit 7.2% as Cost Pressures Force Rate Hike Path

Milei's Austerity Plan Strains Argentine Economy as Inflation Grows

ECB Hikes to 2.5% as Energy Shock Keeps Inflation Above 3%

Futures Price 60% Chance of September Rate Hike as Supply Shocks Limit Fed Firepower

BOJ's Masu Shows Rapid Rate Hikes Possible — September Move Now Near-Certain

Bitcoin Holds $79,190 as Oil Breaks $100 on Inflation Fears

Congo's Mining Data Monopoly Threatens Cobalt, Copper Supply—Inflation Risk Rises

Hormuz Threat Pushes Oil Higher, Steepens Curve as Inflation Risk Rises

Gold Tops $2,385 as Dollar Slides on Softer Inflation Bets

Colombia Inflation Miss Erases Rate-Cut Bets — Two-Year Yield Jumps 20bp

Japan's Real Wages Rise 2.4 Percent in July, Backing BOJ Rate Hike

Yen Hits February High as BOJ Rate Hike Approaches, Crypto Liquidity Faces Test

Realty Income (O): 5.3% Yield, $1T Data Center Bet as Rate Cuts Approach

Federal Reserve

ECB, BOE Rate Hike Bets Surge: Germany Two-Year Yield Hits 3.08%

Saudi Pipeline Outage Drives Oil Above $107; Inflation Risk Reignites Rate Debate

McConnell Returns, But Treasury Market Eyes Inflation, Not Leadership

Pakistan Holds Rate at 11.5% as Inflation Stays Above 11%

Copper Spot Premium Collapses to $4.50 as Rate Hike Bets Surge

India August CPI at 4.82% Shows October Rate Hike — Futures Price 72% Odds

BOJ Shows Persistent Inflation From Supply Shocks Justifies Rate Vigilance

Oil Surge, Sticky Inflation Push Asia Equities Lower; Yield Curves Steepen

10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.9%, Eyes 5% as Oil, Inflation Persist

Hormuz Attack Report Sends Oil Higher, Pressures Fed on Rate Cuts

Boeing Engineers Win Wage Gains — Bond Market Watches Inflation Spillover

Saudi Pipeline Closure Tightens Oil Markets, Threatens Inflation Targets

Consumer Sentiment Collapses to 47.8; 12-Month Inflation Bets Surge to 4.6%

UK July GDP at 0.4% Clears Bar — BoE Rate Cut Odds Compress

Oil Retreat Lifts Equities as Inflation Holds Above Fed Target

Warsh's 'Inflation is a Choice' Shows Higher-For-Longer — Duration Risk Rises

PPI Beat, Oil Surge Trigger September Rate Hike Bet; Semis, Tech Crack

Japan's Producer Prices Hit 7.2% as Cost Pressures Force Rate Hike Path

Milei's Austerity Plan Strains Argentine Economy as Inflation Grows

ECB Hikes to 2.5% as Energy Shock Keeps Inflation Above 3%

Futures Price 60% Chance of September Rate Hike as Supply Shocks Limit Fed Firepower

BOJ's Masu Shows Rapid Rate Hikes Possible — September Move Now Near-Certain

Bitcoin Holds $79,190 as Oil Breaks $100 on Inflation Fears

Congo's Mining Data Monopoly Threatens Cobalt, Copper Supply—Inflation Risk Rises

Hormuz Threat Pushes Oil Higher, Steepens Curve as Inflation Risk Rises

Gold Tops $2,385 as Dollar Slides on Softer Inflation Bets

Colombia Inflation Miss Erases Rate-Cut Bets — Two-Year Yield Jumps 20bp

Japan's Real Wages Rise 2.4 Percent in July, Backing BOJ Rate Hike

Yen Hits February High as BOJ Rate Hike Approaches, Crypto Liquidity Faces Test

Realty Income (O): 5.3% Yield, $1T Data Center Bet as Rate Cuts Approach