Tag
Prediction Markets
21 articles
Vance and Rubio Lead 2028 Prediction Markets at 18 Percent Each
Kalshi data gives Vice President JD Vance and Sen. Marco Rubio an 18 percent shot at the presidency, with Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff leading a thin Democratic field.
Binance.US Applies for CFTC Derivatives License, Eyes Prediction Markets and Perpetuals
The exchange's CEO confirms plans to enter prediction markets and perpetual futures, targeting regulated crypto derivatives for U.S. clients.
White House Aide Quits After Betting on Trump Speeches Using Inside Access
Senior policy advisor Marcus Thorne resigned from the National Economic Council after an internal ethics review found he used prediction markets tied to administration announcements.
Hyperliquid's HIP-4 Proposes $30.4M HYPE Stake for Permissionless Prediction Markets
The HIP-4 proposal mandates a 500,000 HYPE token lock for six months, with slashing provisions for ambiguous or unresolved markets
Bitcoin Falls 2.5% to $75,315 as Institutions Diversify Into AI, Prediction Markets
Capital flows show institutional investors moving beyond core Bitcoin positions to explore high-growth sectors in decentralized AI and blockchain prediction platforms
Ethereum Prediction Markets Price 56% Chance Below $2,000 This Month
Traders assign majority probability to Ethereum falling below $2,000 before May's close, marking a shift in sentiment for the second-largest crypto asset
Prediction Market ETFs See Path Ahead as On-Chain Volume Hits $5M Daily
ETF analyst Nate Geraci expects new funds targeting decentralized prediction markets, signaling further crypto market financialization
Scott Melker Warns Prediction Market Speculation Shows Market Downturn
Veteran trader Scott Melker cautioned at Consensus 2026 that speculation in prediction markets historically signals coming corrections
Prediction Markets Surge Past $150 Billion as Kalshi Dominates April Volume
Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi collectively processed over $150 billion in lifetime trading volume, with Kalshi setting a new monthly record in April.
1. A16z Enters Regulatory Fray, Backs CFTC on Prediction Markets as Crypto Fear Persists
Prominent venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz has sided with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in a critical legal battle against states aiming to prohibit decentralized prediction markets, signaling a major fight for crypto's regulatory future.
Prediction Markets Shake Off 'Casino' Label, Become Critical News Oracle
On-chain data confirms prediction markets are evolving into a serious information aggregation layer, offering investors a real-time pulse on global events and challenging traditional news paradigms.
Prediction Markets Mature: Polymarket, Kalshi $150 Billion Volume Signals Growing Institutional
The cumulative trading volume of Polymarket and Kalshi reaching $150 billion in April underscores the accelerating legitimization of prediction markets as a robust, alternative asset class attracting significant capital.
Prediction Market Crackdown Signals Regulatory Shift: Cybersecurity Stocks Poised for Gains
The arrest of a U.S. soldier for insider trading on Polymarket marks a new era of government enforcement, pushing investors towards robust, regulated technology and cybersecurity firms.
Washington Targets Prediction Markets: Here’s Who Wins and Who Loses
Federal regulators are escalating their campaign against decentralized prediction markets, signaling a significant shift in Washington's approach to novel crypto applications and reasserting control over a speculative corner of finance.
State Prediction Market Bans Signal Regulatory Tightening on Decentralized Finance
New York and Illinois' prohibitions on government employees using prediction markets for insider trading underscore growing regulatory scrutiny that could reshape the operational landscape for decentralized finance protocols and their speculative instruments.
Prediction Markets Overprice Event Risk: Polymarket Bot Exposes Systemic Bias
A continuously profitable bot on Polymarket, consistently betting against major news events, reveals a deep-seated behavioral bias in how decentralized prediction markets price tail risk.
Kalshi CEO Anticipates Federal Crackdown on Prediction Market 'Bad Actors'
The CEO of regulated prediction market Kalshi expects federal agencies to target illicit activities within the burgeoning sector, signaling a new front in Washington's regulatory push.
Nevada Bans Kalshi: Regulatory Net Tightens on Prediction Markets
A Nevada court ruling classifying Kalshi's sports contracts as gambling establishes a critical precedent, signaling increased regulatory scrutiny on prediction markets and potentially impacting broader crypto derivatives.
JPMorgan's Prediction Market Pivot: Dimon Eyes DeFi, BTC $68,153
Jamie Dimon, a long-time crypto skeptic, now admits JPMorgan is exploring prediction market offerings, signaling a profound institutional shift towards blockchain-powered decentralized finance and validating the sector's long-term utility as Bitcoin consolidates above $68,000.
CFTC Targets Prediction Markets; Bitcoin Holds $68,626
The CFTC's enforcement director issues a stark warning, confirming insider trading laws extend to decentralized prediction markets, signaling aggressive enforcement as crypto markets show resilience.
Kalshi's $50M DC Push Eyes Sports Prediction Market
Kalshi's intensifying lobbying push in Washington, D.C., seeks to unlock a regulated prediction market for sports outcomes, potentially redefining athlete valuations and league revenue streams across a multi-billion dollar vertical.