bond market

The Treasury expanded bond purchases to $4 billion per operation through November, signaling urgency as long-end yields surge past levels unseen since 2004.

The S&P/TSX Composite fell 283.44 points Monday, erasing a month of gains as geopolitical pressure drove new 52-week lows to triple from Friday's count.

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks on Friday shifted bond market pricing sharply toward a September rate increase, with two-year Treasury yields jumping 13 basis points.

Fed Chair's refusal to signal future rate direction leaves bond markets parsing a shift toward opacity, as traders price in sticky inflation risks.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh warned that persistent inflation may force a rate increase, pushing September hike probability to 60% from 35% overnight

Foreign private ownership of U.S. Treasuries reaches 59%, cushioning yield pressure on emerging markets as EM fixed income outpaces global aggregates.

New Fed chair's refusal to signal rate path leaves bond traders searching for clues as 10-year yields test 2007 highs.

The Treasury's shift to shorter maturities and surge in long-term rates signal the late-cycle conditions Ray Dalio has long warned about.

Treasury expands debt repurchases, 30-year yield falls to 5.18 percent, and swap markets confirm the intervention is gaining traction

Brent crude fell to $89.20 and WTI to $82.21 as Washington chose sanctions over military action against Iran, pulling Treasuries higher across the curve.

Chinese lenders are now benchmarking bond issuance to the overnight funding rate, confirming the PBOC's June 17 overhaul is reshaping the world's second-largest bond market from the ground up.

The quarterly budget stayed at $38 billion while per-operation ceilings doubled, exposing the gap between what buybacks can accomplish and what markets assumed.

U.S. bond markets swung sharply this week between employment-driven rallies and yield curve steepening, with traders parsing Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's policy direction amid persistent inflation concerns.

Long-duration yields climb globally as persistent monetary tightening keeps borrowing costs elevated; 10-year U.S. Treasury closes at 4.71% on July 31

Aug. 20 intervention targets duration compression at long end of curve as yields near two-decade peaks

Investors slash U.S. and U.K. rate-increase expectations on softer economic data, but long-duration Treasury yields climb as real-money buyers grow selective on entry points

The 10-year yield fell to 4.708% Tuesday ahead of the 20-year auction, but inflation breakevens hardened and geopolitical uncertainty left the curve vulnerable to fresh selling.

As government bond yields decline, Ukrainian retail investors are rotating into higher-yielding corporate debt, reshaping a market that was nearly dormant before the latest cycle.

BOJ rate-hike speculation and global inflation pressure drove the benchmark JGB yield to its highest in nearly three decades, with futures falling 0.19 yen to 125.97.

The 30-year Treasury yield crossed 5.30% for the first time since 2007 as fiscal fears, oil above $90 and weak Asian data pushed sovereign debt worldwide to generational extremes.

The Treasury is set to sell $16 billion in 20-year debt Wednesday with when-issued yields at 5.27 percent — the highest for that tenor since its 2020 reintroduction.

Core PCE climbed to 3.3 percent by June as WTI crude swung from $57 to $113 — futures now price a hike as early as September.

Philadelphia Fed survey data shows economists' median 10-year Treasury yield predictions have diverged from actual outcomes as a recurring structural pattern, not an occasional outlier.

Core inflation held at 2.5 percent while employers shed 23,000 jobs and real wages fell 0.2 percent, shifting Fed rate expectations toward a September pause.

Underlying inflation cooled for a second straight month in July, giving Fed Chair Kevin Warsh cover to hold rates steady at the September meeting.

Australia's central bank held its cash rate steady but Governor Michele Bullock said hikes remain possible, pushing three-year yields up 2 basis points and lifting late-2026 hike odds.

Economists project a 0.1 percent monthly CPI gain for July and 3.4 percent year-over-year, enough to keep the short end of the yield curve on edge.

The private credit firm tapped debt markets following redemption limits imposed on one of its funds earlier this year.

The White House gave Lisa Cook three weeks to respond to mortgage fraud allegations, raising fresh questions about Fed independence ahead of the Sept. 15-16 policy meeting.

U.S. equities posted their worst single-day decline since April 2025 after the Fed held rates steady, sparking a bond sell-off and a 6 percent jump in crude prices.

International Business Machines Corp. is offering four- and eight-year Canadian dollar notes, its first such issuance since 2012, as foreign firms drive record Maple note volume.

Economists forecast a second straight quarter of expansion driven by services and manufacturing stockpiling, though June activity is expected to have slipped.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed issuance sizes for coupon and floating-rate notes will remain unchanged for several quarters, rebuffing Wall Street calls for more long-dated supply.

Italy surpassed Germany and France in July LNG intake, with state subsidies and guarantees allowing utilities to absorb spot prices above $12 per million BTU.

Chile returns to external financing weeks after congressional approval of a higher borrowing limit, signaling persistent fiscal demand and a push to secure capital.

Bond markets are repricing a 25-basis-point hike at the July 31 Fed meeting after a sharp jump in oil prices reignited inflation concerns across duration-sensitive portfolios.

Weekly jobless claims fell to a near six-decade low, lifting the two-year Treasury yield 8 basis points and cutting September rate-cut odds to 5 percent.

The Federal Reserve's shift to data-dependent communication lifted the two-year yield to 4.97 percent and cut September pause odds to 72 percent.

Declining transit volume through the world's most critical oil chokepoint is tightening supply expectations and lifting inflation risk premiums across rates markets.

The Governing Council held the deposit rate at 4.00 percent for a second straight meeting, with President Christine Lagarde leaving the door open to additional tightening.

Producer prices ran at more than double the consensus forecast in June, slashing September rate-cut odds to 35 percent and steepening the market's higher-for-longer repricing.

A sustained 5 percent 10-year Treasury yield raises the cost of capital for speculative AI companies, echoing past rate cycles that crippled highly leveraged sectors.

President Trump's appointment of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee immediately shifts market expectations toward a more restrictive monetary policy stance

Netherlands' high-output, shorter-hours workforce reduces unit labor costs and inflation pressure, influencing European Central Bank policy decisions

High-growth technology shares face pressure as rising Treasury yields increase discount rates for future earnings

April data confirms deepening consumption slump, increasing pressure on People's Bank of China for monetary easing

Rail delays force cargo to costlier trucking, lifting Houston-Chicago spot rates 18% and pushing inflation expectations higher

Quantitative tightening drains systemic liquidity, pushing short-term Treasury yields higher and maintaining pressure on duration risk

New Fed Chair emphasizes firm commitment to price stability, challenging rate cut expectations as short-dated Treasuries sell off

Fed funds futures now price 78% chance of June pause as shelter costs and energy prices maintain upward pressure