Tag
kevin warsh
29 articles
Kashkari Sees Broad Inflation Pressure; Warsh Pegs August PCE Near 3.6%
Minneapolis Fed President signals persistent core inflation across all sectors as rate futures price 67% chance of 4.00%-4.25% terminal rate by end of 2026
Treasury Yields Fall to 4.99% on Fed Hike, Warsh Shows Inflation Fight
The 10-year Treasury yield declined three basis points to 4.99% following the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate increase, ending an eight-day rally in long-end yields.
Trump Attacks Fed Board Over Rate Hike, Spares Warsh
President Trump criticized the Federal Reserve's board as hostile after it unanimously voted to raise interest rates to 3.75 to 4 percent, the first increase in three years.
Futures Price 85% Hike Odds as Warsh Faces Trump Pressure on Rates
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh confronts a rate decision that could either antagonize President Trump or signal market capitulation on inflation control.
Warsh's 'Inflation is a Choice' Shows Higher-For-Longer — Duration Risk Rises
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh declared inflation a monetary policy choice and said the FOMC is unanimously committed to price stability, prompting bond markets to reprice rate-cut odds lower
European Stocks Stabilize as Bond Selloff Eases; Deutsche Telekom Rises on Elliott Stake
The STOXX 600 gained 1 percent after three days of losses, as investors await U.S. jobs data to gauge Federal Reserve policy
Oil's 3% Drop Pulls Treasury Yields Lower as Jackson Hole Approaches
Brent crude fell to $89.20 a barrel Tuesday as the U.S. chose sanctions over strikes against Iran, removing the geopolitical risk premium and allowing bond markets to rally.
Warsh's Jackson Hole Speech Pushes September Hike Odds to 60%
Two-year Treasury yields climbed to 4.34% as markets repriced Fed policy; MSCI emerging-market index fell 1.4%, its worst day since Aug. 24
Warsh Speech Lifts Fed Hike Odds to 58 Percent as Treasury Yields Spike
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks on Friday shifted bond market pricing sharply toward a September rate increase, with two-year Treasury yields jumping 13 basis points.
Warsh: AI's $100B Sales Surge Forces Fed Model Recalibration
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh cited a 500 percent rise in leading AI lab sales to argue the technology demands structural changes to monetary policy frameworks.
Warsh Breaks Jackson Hole Tradition, Withholds Rate Guidance as Inflation Concerns Mount
Fed Chair's refusal to signal future rate direction leaves bond markets parsing a shift toward opacity, as traders price in sticky inflation risks.
Warsh Shows September Hike Risk; Traders Price 60% Odds
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh warned that persistent inflation may force a rate increase, pushing September hike probability to 60% from 35% overnight
Gold Falls Below $4,600 as Warsh Shows Rate Hikes Ahead
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish inflation comments at the Central Bank Symposium drove spot gold down 0.5 percent, signaling markets now price in near-term rate increases.
Warsh: Financial Conditions Not Restrictive; 6-Month PCE at 4.1% Shows More Rate Hikes Ahead
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh said broad financial conditions remain accommodative and inflation momentum is insufficient to justify rate cuts, keeping markets priced for higher-for-longer rates.
Warsh Jackson Hole Speech Friday as Treasury Doubles Debt Buybacks
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's keynote at Jackson Hole comes as Treasury expands repurchases of off-the-run debt, keeping yield-curve traders on alert for policy signals.
Warsh's Jackson Hole Silence Risks Further Treasury Selling
New Fed chair's refusal to signal rate path leaves bond traders searching for clues as 10-year yields test 2007 highs.
Bessent's Bond Buyback Doubles, Cuts 30-Year Yield 8 Basis Points
Treasury expands debt repurchases, 30-year yield falls to 5.18 percent, and swap markets confirm the intervention is gaining traction
10-Year Yield Drops 7 Basis Points as Oil Falls on Iran Sanctions Shift
Brent crude fell to $89.20 and WTI to $82.21 as Washington chose sanctions over military action against Iran, pulling Treasuries higher across the curve.
JPMorgan AM: Fed's 9-3 Vote Shows One-and-Done Ceiling, Not Tightening Cycle
The sharpest FOMC dissent in years clusters among rotating bank presidents, not Governors—the structural composition that shapes consensus argues against sustained rate hikes.
Treasury Doubles Bond Buybacks as Long-End Yields Hit Near-20-Year Highs
Scott Bessent raised the maximum buyback operation size from $2 billion to $4 billion, targeting 10- to 30-year debt after a buyers' strike dating to late June.
Fidelity Eyes $4,650–$4,750 Gold Entry as Rate Uncertainty Lifts Bullion Case
Portfolio manager George Efstathopoulos plans to allocate 5 percent of a $3 billion fund to gold, with buy triggers set 5–7 percent below current spot prices near $5,000.
30-Year U.S. Yield Tops 5.30% as Global Bond Selloff Hits Multi-Decade Highs
The 30-year Treasury yield crossed 5.30% for the first time since 2007 as fiscal fears, oil above $90 and weak Asian data pushed sovereign debt worldwide to generational extremes.
CPI Holds at 3.4%, Core Slips to 2.5% — Warsh Gets Room to Pause in September
Underlying inflation cooled for a second straight month in July, giving Fed Chair Kevin Warsh cover to hold rates steady at the September meeting.
Fed's Forward Guidance Retreat Raises Volatility Risk, With Canada's Post-2008 Shift as Precedent
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's reduced forward guidance is generating market uncertainty, prompting analysts to cite Canada's post-2008 central bank policy as a historical parallel.
Trump Targets Fed Governor Cook; Futures Price 75 Percent Chance of Hike by November
The White House gave Lisa Cook three weeks to respond to mortgage fraud allegations, raising fresh questions about Fed independence ahead of the Sept. 15-16 policy meeting.
Bessent Targets 19-Year Yield High With Yen Intervention and Bond Supply Shows
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's yen intervention and signals of potential long-bond sale reductions aim to pull U.S. long-term rates off a 19-year high.
Warsh Elected FOMC Chair; Two-Year Yield Rises 10 Bps to 4.95 Percent
President Trump's appointment of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee immediately shifts market expectations toward a more restrictive monetary policy stance
Warsh's Fed Trajectory Puts Financials on Alert, Tech Sector Under Pressure
The shifting prospects for Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve introduce significant policy uncertainty, prompting investors to re-evaluate sector exposures and inflation hedges.
Warsh Fed Chair Hearing: Tech Valuations Under Scrutiny as Hawkish Outlook Emerges
President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh faces Senate scrutiny next week, signaling potential shifts in monetary policy that could reprice growth equities and reshape sector leadership