federal reserve

One more rate increase expected this year, then a pause, as gold holds losses on near-term hawkishness but finds support from the 2027 ceiling on real yields.

Scott Melker, host of The Wolf Of All Streets podcast, highlighted on X the upcoming release of the September CPI report and economists' consensus forecast.

Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb issued a stark warning on X about current economic conditions, pointing to rising borrowing costs and a looming energy crisis.

Peter Schiff, chief economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, stated on X that a recent "Big Beautiful Bill" increased the federal government's size and expense, leading to a public burden that negates any supposed tax cuts.

The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.7% as semiconductor stocks stumbled, while investors brace for S&P 500 earnings forecast to rise 25% and the Wednesday CPI report.

Jim Cramer claims a recent quarter-point Federal Reserve rate increase is impacting long-term yields and will decelerate economic activity, while a war resolution could significantly drop oil prices.

A stronger dollar, higher bond yields and elevated gas prices are tightening financial conditions without Fed action, potentially easing pressure on Chair Kevin Warsh to raise rates further.

The first software price increase since 1998 has shifted Fed focus to near-term AI inflation, delaying integration of longer-term productivity gains into official forecasts

Lyn Alden, founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy, stated on X that she might become neutral on bonds despite a recent bear surge.

The Kobeissi Letter, a markets commentary publication, reported on X that US families are falling behind on debt payments, citing recent Federal Reserve data.

Damped Spring Advisors CEO Andy Constan raised questions about the U.S. Treasury's approach to bond sales given their market performance.

Author and former options trader Nassim Nicholas Taleb claimed on X that the U.S. faces an "unavoidable" debt spiral due to past fiscal policies.

Allianz Chief Economic Adviser Mohamed El-Erian stated on X that an "increasingly influential, multi-directional causal relationship" exists between geopolitics, domestic politics, and economics.

Weekly data on bank balance sheets offers fixed-income traders a real-time lens on credit creation and monetary policy transmission

Consumer sentiment fell below expectations while long-term inflation expectations climbed, signaling de-anchoring risks that could keep the Fed restrictive longer

The markets commentary publication highlighted a significant increase in total consumer credit in August, reaching a new all-time high.

Charles Schwab's Chief Investment Strategist highlighted a decline in the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker for September.

Economist Mohamed El-Erian highlighted the US budget deficit's climb to nearly $2 trillion for the fiscal year ending September 30, in a post on X.

Financial markets blog ZeroHedge reported Friday that New Zealand's house prices have fallen to a three-year low, according to a quarterly index.

Scott Melker highlighted on X that recent US Treasury bond auctions cleared at yields not seen since before the dot-com bust.

Initial filings beat expectations while benefit recipients climb, leaving bond traders parsing conflicting signals on labor market momentum and Fed policy.

The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent shared comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller regarding future monetary policy.

Bond traders price diminished odds of near-term rate cuts as Fed reiterates inflation concerns, keeping yields elevated across the curve

Derivatives positioning shows consensus expectations for monetary easing, with bullish call activity concentrated in long-dated Treasury ETFs and utility indices.

Scott Melker reported on X that 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields reached fresh 24-year highs, with the 10-year auction clearing at the highest yield since 2000.

Bloomberg journalist Joe Weisenthal stated on X that extensive spending, partly driven by AI, fuels inflation, leading the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates.

Improved Middle East oil flows and falling Treasury yields have reduced Fed rate-increase expectations to below 20 percent, supporting bullion despite eight months of geopolitical losses.

Secretary Bessent's $5.19 billion operation proves insufficient as long-end yields rise and 10-year approaches 5%, signaling market skepticism on fiscal fundamentals.

The Kobeissi Letter reported on X that credit spreads for lower-rated corporate bonds have widened to levels last seen in November 2022.

Spot gold gained 0.3% on softer September payrolls data that slashed near-term Fed tightening expectations, though elevated Treasury yields and dollar strength capped upside.

Allianz chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian cautioned that elevated borrowing costs in the bond market could spread from vulnerable sectors across the broader economy.

U.S. stock futures edge lower as September payroll miss cools Fed tightening bets, but elevated Treasury yields and oil prices cap upside for equities

ZeroHedge reported that UBS is sounding an alarm about Europe's gas reserves ahead of winter, projecting a "drawdown" within a month.

Peter Schiff, chief economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, stated on X that bond markets reacted negatively despite a jobs report.

Nvidia shares reached an all-time intraday high Friday as a weaker-than-expected jobs report sparked a tech rally and renewed expectations for Fed rate cuts.

Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading, stated on X that unchanged interest rates from the Federal Reserve are bullish for Bitcoin.

The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent commented on the latest labor market data and its implications for Federal Reserve policy.

Mohamed El-Erian detailed the latest US jobs report, noting lower-than-expected job creation and a rise in the unemployment rate.

U.S. payrolls fell 61,000 short of forecasts in September, crushing rate-hike odds and sending the 10-year Treasury yield down 6 basis points.

The Kobeissi Letter stated market expectations for an October rate hike fell to 17% after a weaker September jobs report.

Economist Peter Schiff stated on X that the U.S. labor market is weak despite persistent inflation.

Wall Street forecasts a sharp slowdown in U.S. job growth to 84,000 for September as the Fed shifts focus to inflation despite stable employment conditions.

Nonfarm payrolls expected to cool to 90,000 in September after August's 162,000 gain, keeping unemployment at 4.1 percent and reducing odds of another Fed rate hike this year.

Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent notes Philip Jefferson's comments suggesting more time before another rate adjustment, echoing New York Fed President John Williams.

Egypt's fintech unicorn plans to sell a 20 percent stake, offering a real-time read on institutional appetite for emerging market growth at current discount rates.

Treasury yields surge to 16-year highs as Fed futures signal rate increase despite Trump's calls for cuts

Long-term Treasury yields climbed to a 19-year high this week, driven by elevated inflation and expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes

Allianz Chief Economic Adviser Mohamed El-Erian noted that government bond yields are under sustained upward pressure, with UK and US yields reaching multi-year highs.

Peter Schiff, chief economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, warned that rising Treasury yields could push the annual cost of servicing the US national debt above Social Security expenditures.

Andy Constan, CEO of Damped Spring Advisors, recommended a strategic shift from an all-stock portfolio to include inflation-protected and nominal bonds on X today.