inflation

Consumer inflation fell short of expectations while factory-gate prices accelerated, creating a policy bind for the People's Bank of China between easing and inflation risk

The first software price increase since 1998 has shifted Fed focus to near-term AI inflation, delaying integration of longer-term productivity gains into official forecasts

Consumer sentiment fell below expectations while long-term inflation expectations climbed, signaling de-anchoring risks that could keep the Fed restrictive longer

Bond traders price diminished odds of near-term rate cuts as Fed reiterates inflation concerns, keeping yields elevated across the curve

Contract rate climbed 19 basis points to highest level in nearly a year as 10-year Treasury yields reach 2002 peaks, crushing purchase demand

The single currency fell to $1.116 this week as markets bet the ECB will raise rates less than inflation data suggests, while France's borrowing costs diverge sharply from Germany's.

The Reserve Bank of India lifted its benchmark rate 25 basis points to 5.5 percent, the first hike since February 2023, as retail inflation breaches the central bank's 4 percent target for a third consecutive month.

UK blue-chip index closed 11 points lower as 30-year gilt yields topped 6 percent and Middle East tensions drove oil higher.

The Reserve Bank of India raised its key lending rate by 25 basis points and shifted to tightening mode, citing inflation pressures from crude prices and geopolitical risks.

Research by Man Group shows the speed of price growth matters more than high inflation itself in damaging Treasury performance, challenging conventional wisdom.

Food and fuel price shocks push Philippines inflation 40 basis points above forecast, ending disinflationary streak and cementing case for further BSP rate hikes.

The ANZ-Roy Morgan index fell to 67.1 in early October after the RBA raised rates to 4.6 percent, with mortgage holders and renters showing the sharpest declines

Labor Department data shows real wage contraction while energy prices surge, mirroring structural conditions from the 1970s stagflation period.

ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane said the latest energy-cost surge poses offsetting inflation and growth risks that could limit further tightening, even as markets price in two to three additional hikes.

The Turkish central bank reduced rates by 100 basis points citing faster-than-expected disinflation, yet its own forward guidance and market pricing suggest entrenched inflation expectations will resist further cuts.

Higher borrowing costs and tax reforms on property investment are accelerating declines in Australia's largest markets, with some forecasting drops exceeding 10 percent.

U.S. payrolls fell 61,000 short of forecasts in September, crushing rate-hike odds and sending the 10-year Treasury yield down 6 basis points.

Wall Street forecasts a sharp slowdown in U.S. job growth to 84,000 for September as the Fed shifts focus to inflation despite stable employment conditions.

Soaring petrol and diesel costs are generating unexpected tax revenue for Britain's exchequer, but persistent inflation pressures may force the Chancellor to choose between relief measures and fiscal consolidation.

Long-term Treasury yields climbed to a 19-year high this week, driven by elevated inflation and expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes

New Delhi eliminated tariffs on crude sunflower oil and halved duties on soybean and palm oils on Sept. 24, prompting refiners to accelerate purchases while officials demand retail price cuts.

Softer August inflation failed to arrest the bond selloff as the Bank of Japan's hawkish pivot and persistent global price pressures keep duration under pressure

Minneapolis Fed President signals additional tightening as he challenges assumptions about policy restrictiveness and elevated neutral rate

Consumer prices rose less than expected, with the core PCE index reaching 3.0 percent annually, shifting market bets away from an October rate increase.

New York Harbor ultra-low sulfur diesel crack spread hits $110.40 a barrel, driven by Middle East conflict, Russian export ban, and refinery outages that tighten global product markets despite subdued crude prices.

A large institutional options trade and surge in convexity hedging accelerate Treasury losses, with the 30-year yield hitting 5.35%—its highest since 2007.

Spot gold held steady Wednesday as traders balanced a 92 percent probability of a December rate hike against oil-driven inflation hedging and Iran diplomacy signals.

The 10-year Treasury yield surges nearly 50 basis points this month as global sovereign debt sells off, signaling a shift to a structurally higher-yield regime.

May's headline CPI miss versus RBA forecasts removes August rate hike pricing, but sticky core inflation keeps long-end risk premium intact.

Crude's sharp drop on diplomatic progress weakens inflation argument supporting higher-for-longer rates, reshaping gold's sensitivity to Fed policy.

New York Fed President Williams said the U.S. economy shows strong momentum and expects inflation to slow to just above two percent next year from 3.5 percent this year.

U.S. government borrowing costs climbed to levels not seen in nearly two decades, driven by rising oil prices and inflation concerns.

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell 6.7 points from August, with both present situation and future expectations deteriorating.

Australia's central bank raised its policy rate by 25 basis points for the fourth time this year, citing broadening Middle East conflict and AI demand as drivers of price pressures.

Ten-year UK gilt yields climbed to 5.37 percent on crude's 6 percent jump above $107, signaling central banks face a sustained rate-hike cycle amid Middle East supply risks.

Seoul's three-year treasury yield breached 4% for the first time in nearly three years as U.S. rate pressures and Middle East oil surge compress duration across the curve.

U.S. comparable sales of just 0.8 percent lag inflation as 95 percent of franchisees report declining profitability, forcing McDonald's to commit $5 billion in relief through 2030.

The 10-year yield climbed to 5.22 percent, a 19-year high, as robust U.S. data and rising oil prices force investors to reprice rate expectations sharply higher.

The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.12 percent, its highest level in nearly two decades, as robust economic data collides with federal deficit projections exceeding 6 percent of GDP.

Minneapolis Fed President signals persistent core inflation across all sectors as rate futures price 67% chance of 4.00%-4.25% terminal rate by end of 2026

National dwelling values dropped 0.9 percent in August, with Sydney down 7.1 percent since February as markets price in further Reserve Bank tightening

Record diesel prices are forcing businesses to absorb $35 million-plus in added costs, creating a structural inflation problem that interest rate hikes cannot solve.

A prominent crypto analyst argues that fiscal discipline in the U.S. would undermine Bitcoin's appeal, challenging the popular debasement trade narrative.

The Bank of Japan raised rates for the first time in 31 years, but dovish guidance and internal dissent sent the yen lower as traders priced a slower tightening cycle.

ExxonMobil's 275,000 barrel-per-day facility went offline Monday as Midwest refining runs near 98 percent utilization, leaving no slack for unplanned disruptions.

Survey shows households expect 3.2% annual inflation over next 12 months, up from 2.8% last quarter, threatening central bank's price-stability anchor

The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 1.25 percent, but two dissenting votes and inflation data below forecasts drove the yen weaker, signaling market skepticism about sustained tightening.

The quarter-point hike steepens the short end of the yield curve as bond traders reprice forward rate expectations against persistent inflation above 2 percent.

The dollar index fell to 100.20 after the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its hiking cycle, while markets price in more rate increases than policymakers project

The 10-year Treasury yield declined three basis points to 4.99% following the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate increase, ending an eight-day rally in long-end yields.