Tag

Fixed Income

50 articles

The Villages Taps $180M High-Yield Market as Yield Hunters Absorb Spread Risk
Macro & Rates3h ago
The Villages Taps $180M High-Yield Market as Yield Hunters Absorb Spread Risk
The Florida retirement developer's bond sale signals sustained investor appetite for credit risk in a compressed-spread environment.
Bank Subordinated Debt Spreads Widen as Investors Demand Higher Yields
Macro & Rates13h ago
Bank Subordinated Debt Spreads Widen as Investors Demand Higher Yields
AT1 bonds and CoCos face compressed valuations as institutional buyers price in elevated credit risk, raising capital costs for lenders
Bonds Resume Hedge Role as Growth Scare Upends Rate Outlook
Macro & RatesYesterday
Bonds Resume Hedge Role as Growth Scare Upends Rate Outlook
Flight to quality drives Treasury yields lower as investors dump equities and rotate into fixed income on AI growth concerns.
BlackRock: Corporate Bond Yields Now Self-Sustaining Without Rate Cuts
Research & Analysis2d ago
BlackRock: Corporate Bond Yields Now Self-Sustaining Without Rate Cuts
BlackRock argues current corporate yields offer sufficient returns independent of interest rate declines or credit spread tightening, signaling a structural shift in fixed income valuations.
NAHB Index Crashes to 29, Lowest Since 2012 — Shows Housing Slowdown
Macro & Rates4d ago
NAHB Index Crashes to 29, Lowest Since 2012 — Shows Housing Slowdown
Builder sentiment collapsed below expectations in October, raising questions about construction financing demand and mortgage-backed security performance.
Fed H.8 Release Shows Banking Sector Liquidity Shift
Macro & Rates7d ago
Fed H.8 Release Shows Banking Sector Liquidity Shift
Weekly commercial bank balance sheet data shows deposit and loan trends that may reshape Fed rate expectations and duration positioning
Discount Rate Swings Drive Asset Valuations Across All Markets
Macro & Rates7d ago
Discount Rate Swings Drive Asset Valuations Across All Markets
As the Fed's rate path shifts, the present value of future cash flows—the core principle underlying all asset pricing—swings sharply, reshaping valuations from Treasuries to equities.
Pimco CIO Sees 1-2 More Fed Hikes; Long-End Treasuries Offer Value
Macro & Rates7d ago
Pimco CIO Sees 1-2 More Fed Hikes; Long-End Treasuries Offer Value
Andrew Balls argues the Fed needs one to two additional rate increases to reach its 2 percent inflation target, while identifying value in longer-dated Treasury yields.
Mortgage Rates Hold at 7% as Duration Risk Persists in MBS
Macro & Rates8d ago
Mortgage Rates Hold at 7% as Duration Risk Persists in MBS
Unchanged borrowing costs keep prepayment speeds depressed, limiting spread compression opportunities in mortgage-backed securities.
Bassman: 20Y Yield at 6% Triggers Convexity Vortex in Bonds
Macro & Rates9d ago
Bassman: 20Y Yield at 6% Triggers Convexity Vortex in Bonds
MOVE Index creator warns that 20-year Treasury yields reaching 6% could force institutional selling and create self-reinforcing rate spiral.
Mortgage Rates at 7.5% Trigger Sixth Straight Week of Buyer Pullback
Macro & Rates9d ago
Mortgage Rates at 7.5% Trigger Sixth Straight Week of Buyer Pullback
The 30-year fixed rate hits levels unseen since the mid-2000s, as 10-year Treasury yields remain anchored by persistent inflation expectations.
Hong Kong Dollar at Weak Peg Limit as Reserve Drains Push HIBOR Higher
Macro & Rates9d ago
Hong Kong Dollar at Weak Peg Limit as Reserve Drains Push HIBOR Higher
HKMA intervention to defend the currency peg is draining interbank liquidity, threatening to spike borrowing costs and steepen the yield curve.
High Bond Yields Mask Economic Bifurcation — Non-AI Sectors Face Capital Squeeze
Research & Analysis10d ago
High Bond Yields Mask Economic Bifurcation — Non-AI Sectors Face Capital Squeeze
At 6 percent, bond yields reward savers but signal market skepticism about growth outside artificial intelligence, creating structural headwinds for traditional sectors.
Higher Yields Restore Bond Appeal to 60/40 Portfolios
Macro & Rates10d ago
Higher Yields Restore Bond Appeal to 60/40 Portfolios
Treasury yields at multi-year highs revive the income case for balanced allocations after a decade of near-zero returns forced equity bias.
JPMorgan FICC Revenue Misses Consensus by 10.5%, Shows Softer Institutional Demand
Macro & Rates10d ago
JPMorgan FICC Revenue Misses Consensus by 10.5%, Shows Softer Institutional Demand
The bank's fixed income trading division reported $5.37 billion in Q3 revenue, well below the $6 billion consensus and suggesting reduced client activity across rates, credit and FX markets.
Goldman Sachs Sees Yuan Strength as Underpriced in $9.5T FX Market
Macro & Rates11d ago
Goldman Sachs Sees Yuan Strength as Underpriced in $9.5T FX Market
Kamakshya Trivedi says institutional positioning has missed the case for Chinese currency appreciation, with ripple effects across Treasuries and duration risk
EM Debt Resilience Strengthens 15 Years After Europe Crisis
Macro & Rates12d ago
EM Debt Resilience Strengthens 15 Years After Europe Crisis
Deeper domestic capital markets and stronger fiscal positions have reduced emerging markets' vulnerability to external shocks.
Banks Revive ABCP to Ease Balance-Sheet Strain
Macro & Rates14d ago
Banks Revive ABCP to Ease Balance-Sheet Strain
Asset-backed commercial paper issuance rebounds as institutions seek capital relief and expanded lending capacity without raising regulatory capital ratios
Fed's H.8 Report Shows Commercial Bank Assets, Deposits in Focus
Macro & Rates14d ago
Fed's H.8 Report Shows Commercial Bank Assets, Deposits in Focus
Weekly data on bank balance sheets offers fixed-income traders a real-time lens on credit creation and monetary policy transmission
UMich Sentiment Sinks to 46.3 as 5-10 Year Inflation Expectations Rise to 3.5%
Macro & Rates14d ago
UMich Sentiment Sinks to 46.3 as 5-10 Year Inflation Expectations Rise to 3.5%
Consumer sentiment fell below expectations while long-term inflation expectations climbed, signaling de-anchoring risks that could keep the Fed restrictive longer
AI Debt Boom Reprices $10 Trillion Corporate Bond Market
Research & Analysis14d ago
AI Debt Boom Reprices $10 Trillion Corporate Bond Market
Credit default swap spreads for tech firms widen as massive capital deployment for AI infrastructure reshapes borrowing costs across the sector.
Jobless Claims Fall to 197K; Continuing Claims Rise to 1.716M
Macro & Rates15d ago
Jobless Claims Fall to 197K; Continuing Claims Rise to 1.716M
Initial filings beat expectations while benefit recipients climb, leaving bond traders parsing conflicting signals on labor market momentum and Fed policy.
Japan 30-Year Auction Demand Tops 12-Month Average as Yields Draw Buyers
Macro & Rates15d ago
Japan 30-Year Auction Demand Tops 12-Month Average as Yields Draw Buyers
Stronger interest in Japan's long-dated JGB sale signals investor appetite for duration at higher coupons amid yield curve control debate.
French 10-Year Spread Hits 160 Bps Over Germany as Fiscal Concerns Trigger Selloff
Macro & Rates16d ago
French 10-Year Spread Hits 160 Bps Over Germany as Fiscal Concerns Trigger Selloff
Investors dump eurozone periphery debt on deficit fears, pushing French-German spread to highest since 2012 as bond vigilantes reassess fiscal discipline across Europe
Air Liquide Taps €2B Bond as French OAT Spreads Blow Out to 146 bps
Macro & Rates16d ago
Air Liquide Taps €2B Bond as French OAT Spreads Blow Out to 146 bps
Industrial gases company's multi-tranche issuance tests investor appetite as France's 10-year borrowing premium over Germany hits near 15-year highs amid fiscal and political strain.
Treasury Buyback Fails as 30-Year Yield Hits 5.37%, Oil Surge Deepens Rout
Macro & Rates16d ago
Treasury Buyback Fails as 30-Year Yield Hits 5.37%, Oil Surge Deepens Rout
Secretary Bessent's $5.19 billion operation proves insufficient as long-end yields rise and 10-year approaches 5%, signaling market skepticism on fiscal fundamentals.
10-Year Yield Breaks 5% as Bessent's $5.2B Buyback Fails to Dent Curve
Macro & Rates17d ago
10-Year Yield Breaks 5% as Bessent's $5.2B Buyback Fails to Dent Curve
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's debt buyback provided no lasting relief, as the bond market demands higher compensation for duration risk amid fiscal concerns.
JGB 10-Year Yield Breaks 3% as Citi Eyes Peak; Institutions Await Fiscal Clarity
Macro & Rates17d ago
JGB 10-Year Yield Breaks 3% as Citi Eyes Peak; Institutions Await Fiscal Clarity
Japanese government bond yields touch 3.030%, highest in decades, as strategists signal a potential entry point contingent on clearer fiscal policy direction
AI Capex Boom Pressures Equipment ABS Spreads — $550B Build Drives Credit Repricing
Macro & Rates18d ago
AI Capex Boom Pressures Equipment ABS Spreads — $550B Build Drives Credit Repricing
Hyperscalers' $550 billion annual capex push is flooding the equipment-backed securities market, compressing spreads and forcing fixed-income investors to demand higher compensation for duration risk.
Plume Launches nBND Vault Backed by Fidelity Bond ETF
DeFi & On-Chain18d ago
Plume Launches nBND Vault Backed by Fidelity Bond ETF
The tokenized vault gives institutional allocators on-chain access to actively managed fixed income through shares of the Fidelity Total Bond ETF.
Apollo's Slok: 5% Treasuries End Decade of Yield Famine
Macro & Rates21d ago
Apollo's Slok: 5% Treasuries End Decade of Yield Famine
Chief economist Torsten Slok says fixed-income yields have finally become attractive, with 10-year Treasuries near 5 percent and CCC credit at 15 percent, ending the low-rate era that forced risk-taking for income.
September Payrolls Seen at 90K as Labor Market Stabilizes
Macro & Rates21d ago
September Payrolls Seen at 90K as Labor Market Stabilizes
Nonfarm payrolls expected to cool to 90,000 in September after August's 162,000 gain, keeping unemployment at 4.1 percent and reducing odds of another Fed rate hike this year.
10-Year Yield Hits 5.208%, Highest Since June 2007
Macro & Rates22d ago
10-Year Yield Hits 5.208%, Highest Since June 2007
Long-term Treasury yields climbed to a 19-year high this week, driven by elevated inflation and expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes
Global Public Debt Hits 94% of GDP as Bond Market Shows Solvency Risk
Macro & Rates22d ago
Global Public Debt Hits 94% of GDP as Bond Market Shows Solvency Risk
The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index is down 16% from early 2021 as hidden liabilities—pensions and healthcare commitments totaling 300% of GDP—force institutional investors to abandon duration risk.
Treasury Yields Hit 5.23% as Bond Rout Grows — Largest Monthly Move in Two Years
Macro & Rates23d ago
Treasury Yields Hit 5.23% as Bond Rout Grows — Largest Monthly Move in Two Years
The 10-year Treasury yield surges nearly 50 basis points this month as global sovereign debt sells off, signaling a shift to a structurally higher-yield regime.
Hyperscalers Issue Record Debt for Data Centers, Changing Bond Market
Research & Analysis24d ago
Hyperscalers Issue Record Debt for Data Centers, Changing Bond Market
Five major technology companies committed $969 billion to AI infrastructure, fueling a sharp rise in corporate bond issuance to fund the expansion.
5% Treasury Yields Offer Buffer, Redraw Fixed-Income Investment Case
Research & Analysis24d ago
5% Treasury Yields Offer Buffer, Redraw Fixed-Income Investment Case
The 10-year Treasury yield's rise past 5 percent, a level not seen since 2007, is attracting new capital to fixed income despite anticipated Federal Reserve rate increases.
India State Firms Scrap $688M Bond Sales as Yields Spike on Rate Hike Bets
Macro & Rates25d ago
India State Firms Scrap $688M Bond Sales as Yields Spike on Rate Hike Bets
Two government-backed companies canceled rupee issuances as central bank liquidity drain pushes borrowing costs higher ahead of expected monetary tightening.
China's 10-Year Yield Near 1.5%, U.S. 10-Year at 4.3% Widens Policy Divide
Macro & Rates26d ago
China's 10-Year Yield Near 1.5%, U.S. 10-Year at 4.3% Widens Policy Divide
The 280-basis-point spread between U.S. and Chinese sovereign debt reflects divergent monetary policy stances and inflation expectations, creating distinct risk-return profiles for global fixed-income investors.
Stress Accumulates Quietly as Institutions Face Feedback Loops
Macro & Rates27d ago
Stress Accumulates Quietly as Institutions Face Feedback Loops
Economic downturns rarely announce themselves; they develop through millions of individually rational decisions that create systemic strain.
30-Year Treasury Hits 5.5%, Highest Since 2004, as Fed Hike Bets Surge to 71%
Macro & Rates27d ago
30-Year Treasury Hits 5.5%, Highest Since 2004, as Fed Hike Bets Surge to 71%
The 10-year yield climbed to 5.22 percent, a 19-year high, as robust U.S. data and rising oil prices force investors to reprice rate expectations sharply higher.
10-Year Treasury Yields Hit 5% as Duration Risk Changes Portfolios
Macro & Rates28d ago
10-Year Treasury Yields Hit 5% as Duration Risk Changes Portfolios
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield reached 5 percent Monday, a level absent from sustained trading since 2007, forcing portfolio managers to recalibrate for higher-for-longer rates.
London Banks Capitalize on Gilt Carry as BOE Financing Stays Cheap
Macro & Rates28d ago
London Banks Capitalize on Gilt Carry as BOE Financing Stays Cheap
UK lenders are borrowing at minimal rates from the Bank of England and reinvesting in higher-yielding gilts, capturing spreads as the market prices in future rate increases.
Local-Currency EM Bonds Capture $6.7T Market as Foreign Capital Exits
Research & Analysis33d ago
Local-Currency EM Bonds Capture $6.7T Market as Foreign Capital Exits
Foreign ownership of emerging-market local-currency bonds has collapsed to single digits in major markets, with domestic institutional capital now absorbing new issuances and driving 9–19 percent annual returns.
Long-Dated Corporate Bonds Vanish as 30-Year Yields Hit 20-Year High
Macro & Rates34d ago
Long-Dated Corporate Bonds Vanish as 30-Year Yields Hit 20-Year High
Aon's 2056 notes draw seven-times-oversubscription as companies shun expensive long-term funding, leaving pension funds and insurers starved for duration.
Fed's H.8 Report Shows Bank Credit Stalling as Rate-Cut Bets Fade
Macro & Rates35d ago
Fed's H.8 Report Shows Bank Credit Stalling as Rate-Cut Bets Fade
Weekly commercial bank balance sheet data reveals slowing loan growth, complicating duration positioning in front of Fed policy clarity.
Jobless Claims Hit 196,000, Lowest Since July
Macro & Rates36d ago
Jobless Claims Hit 196,000, Lowest Since July
Labor market strength maintains pressure on Fed to keep rates higher for longer, compressing duration risk for bond investors.
Foreign Investors Dump Treasurys for U.S. Stocks; $600B Equity Inflows Dwarf Bond Demand
Macro & Rates38d ago
Foreign Investors Dump Treasurys for U.S. Stocks; $600B Equity Inflows Dwarf Bond Demand
Overseas capital has shifted decisively from government debt to equities, with foreign Treasury holdings halved to 30 percent as yield spikes and deficit concerns mount.
Private Credit Defaults Hit 6.3% in August, Showing Spread Widening Ahead
Macro & Rates39d ago
Private Credit Defaults Hit 6.3% in August, Showing Spread Widening Ahead
Fitch's record default rate among U.S. private debt borrowers is forcing institutional investors to recalibrate duration risk and prepares the market for wider spreads in below-investment-grade pa.
Aon Taps $17B Debt Market for USI Deal, Eyes 2.8x Use Path
Macro & Rates39d ago
Aon Taps $17B Debt Market for USI Deal, Eyes 2.8x Use Path
Insurance broker launches jumbo investment-grade offering—$4B term loan plus $13.5B senior notes across multiple tranches—to fund KKR acquisition and prefund 2027 maturities.