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Fixed Income

50 articles

Equinix Seeks $3 Billion in Bonds as AI Debt Spreads Widen
Macro & Rates3d ago
Equinix Seeks $3 Billion in Bonds as AI Debt Spreads Widen
The data center giant targets investment-grade buyers as credit spreads on technology infrastructure debt widen and duration risk mounts.
Foreign Funds Skip Nigeria's 66 Percent Equity Rally, Chase Bond Yields Instead
Macro & Rates3d ago
Foreign Funds Skip Nigeria's 66 Percent Equity Rally, Chase Bond Yields Instead
International institutional investors bypassed Nigeria's world-leading stock market this year, directing capital into sovereign debt drawn by high yields across the curve.
Two Saudi Tankers Go Dark in Red Sea, Lifting Oil Supply Risk
Macro & Rates4d ago
Two Saudi Tankers Go Dark in Red Sea, Lifting Oil Supply Risk
The vessels carrying crude for India disabled their AIS transponders to avoid detection in the high-risk waterway, pushing global freight insurance costs higher.
Builder Confidence Falls to 42 as Home Prices Drop 1.2 Percent
Macro & Rates5d ago
Builder Confidence Falls to 42 as Home Prices Drop 1.2 Percent
The NAHB Housing Market Index fell six points in July, its third straight monthly decline, as 7.15 percent mortgage rates erode demand and compress builder margins.
Deutsche Bank Q2 Fixed-Income Revenue Hits Record €2.6 Billion, Q3 Momentum Holds
Research & Analysis5d ago
Deutsche Bank Q2 Fixed-Income Revenue Hits Record €2.6 Billion, Q3 Momentum Holds
CFO Raja Akram said July trading remained strong after a 16 percent Q2 revenue surge beat analyst estimates and outpaced most U.S. rivals.
Hong Kong Tech Shorts Unwind as Korea Correlation Flips Positive
Macro & Rates5d ago
Hong Kong Tech Shorts Unwind as Korea Correlation Flips Positive
Global macro funds are closing short positions in Hong Kong tech after the 60-day rolling correlation with South Korean chip stocks swung from -0.35 to +0.15, breaking the pair trade thesis.
China Centralizes Iron Ore Buying, Putting Miners' Margins at Risk
Macro & Rates6d ago
China Centralizes Iron Ore Buying, Putting Miners' Margins at Risk
Beijing's state-backed CMRG now controls an estimated 70 percent of China's iron ore imports, shifting pricing power away from Rio Tinto, BHP and Vale.
Mexico Q2 GDP Estimated at 2.8% Annualized — Manufacturing, Consumption Drive Rebound
Macro & Rates6d ago
Mexico Q2 GDP Estimated at 2.8% Annualized — Manufacturing, Consumption Drive Rebound
Preliminary data shows Mexico's economy accelerating sharply from Q1's 0.5% pace, with Mbono spreads tightening and Banxico holding rates at 11% amid sticky inflation
Macquarie Sees Oil Glut Risk as Iran Deal Pressure Mounts Before Midterms
Macro & Rates7d ago
Macquarie Sees Oil Glut Risk as Iran Deal Pressure Mounts Before Midterms
Analysts say Washington faces a 100-day political window to de-escalate the Iran conflict, a move that could flood markets with sidelined crude.
China Industrial Profits Rise 6.8 Percent as Export Strength Masks Weak Domestic Demand
Macro & Rates7d ago
China Industrial Profits Rise 6.8 Percent as Export Strength Masks Weak Domestic Demand
Year-to-date profit growth slowed from 8.5 percent in May as property sector stress and soft consumer spending compressed margins despite a 7.5 percent surge in June exports.
WTI Crude Drop Steepens Yield Curve, Lifts December Cut Odds to 58%
Macro & Rates8d ago
WTI Crude Drop Steepens Yield Curve, Lifts December Cut Odds to 58%
Falling oil futures are feeding disinflationary expectations, pulling the two-year Treasury yield down 10 basis points and widening the 2s/10s spread to negative 47 basis points.
China's 320 Million Gig Workers Distort Labor Data, Cloud PBOC Policy
Macro & Rates8d ago
China's 320 Million Gig Workers Distort Labor Data, Cloud PBOC Policy
With nearly half its workforce now in informal roles, China faces mounting challenges to economic modeling, household demand and sovereign bond pricing
Wage-Productivity Gap at Widest Since Q4 2023 Drives Two-Year Yield to 4.98%
Macro & Rates8d ago
Wage-Productivity Gap at Widest Since Q4 2023 Drives Two-Year Yield to 4.98%
Unit labor costs are outpacing output gains by 3.1 percentage points, reinforcing expectations for a Fed hold at the Sept. 18 meeting.
Finland, Spain Unemployment Pressures ECB; Japan Tightness Pushes BoJ Toward Exit
Macro & Rates9d ago
Finland, Spain Unemployment Pressures ECB; Japan Tightness Pushes BoJ Toward Exit
Labor market divergence between the eurozone's weakest economies and Japan is forcing the ECB and Bank of Japan onto opposite policy trajectories.
Resilience Policy Extends Duration Risk as Long-End Yields Stay Elevated
Macro & Rates9d ago
Resilience Policy Extends Duration Risk as Long-End Yields Stay Elevated
An economy engineered to resist downturns keeps inflation sticky and rates high, compounding capital losses for fixed-income portfolios holding long-dated assets.
Fed Cut Odds Collapse as Resilience Narrative Locks In Higher-for-Longer Rates
Macro & Rates9d ago
Fed Cut Odds Collapse as Resilience Narrative Locks In Higher-for-Longer Rates
Futures now price a 68 percent probability the first Fed cut comes no earlier than March 2027, up from 45 percent three months ago, as sticky inflation grinds down easing bets
Charter Launches $3 Billion Debt Exchange to Push Out Maturities
Macro & Rates10d ago
Charter Launches $3 Billion Debt Exchange to Push Out Maturities
The cable operator offers cash and new 10-year notes for bonds maturing 2027–2030, cutting near-term refinancing risk as higher-for-longer rates persist
Fed Drops Forward Guidance, Two-Year Treasury Yield Jumps 8 Basis Points
Macro & Rates10d ago
Fed Drops Forward Guidance, Two-Year Treasury Yield Jumps 8 Basis Points
The Federal Reserve's shift to data-dependent communication lifted the two-year yield to 4.97 percent and cut September pause odds to 72 percent.
Japan Factory PMI Hits 52.3 in July, Sharpens Case for BoJ Policy Shift
Macro & Rates10d ago
Japan Factory PMI Hits 52.3 in July, Sharpens Case for BoJ Policy Shift
Manufacturing output and new orders expanded for a third straight month, giving the Bank of Japan firmer ground to steepen the JGB curve.
GIC Posts First Negative Real Return on Record: -0.3% Over Five Years
Macro & Rates11d ago
GIC Posts First Negative Real Return on Record: -0.3% Over Five Years
Singapore's sovereign wealth fund recorded its first negative real return in public history, hit by duration losses in fixed income and late-cycle equity pressure.
China's 320 Million Gig Workers Strain Consumption and Monetary Policy
Macro & Rates11d ago
China's 320 Million Gig Workers Strain Consumption and Monetary Policy
Nearly half of China's labor force now operates without contracts or benefits, complicating Beijing's push for consumption-led growth and the PBOC's price stability mandate.
Indonesia's JCI Nears Bull Market as Fitch Affirms BBB Rating
Macro & Rates11d ago
Indonesia's JCI Nears Bull Market as Fitch Affirms BBB Rating
The Jakarta Composite Index rose 1.7 percent, pushing its year-to-date gain to 19.5 percent, as Fitch maintained Indonesia's investment-grade sovereign credit rating with a stable outlook.
Dutch 32-Hour Week Drives Eurozone Yields Higher as Productivity Gains Shift ECB Outlook
Macro & Rates72d ago
Dutch 32-Hour Week Drives Eurozone Yields Higher as Productivity Gains Shift ECB Outlook
The Netherlands' strong economy despite the developed world's shortest work week indicates high productivity gains that could reduce ECB rate cut expectations
2s10s Curve Inversion Deepens to 68 Basis Points as Steepening Bets Fail
Macro & Rates73d ago
2s10s Curve Inversion Deepens to 68 Basis Points as Steepening Bets Fail
Persistent inversion between two-year and 10-year Treasuries challenges fixed-income assumptions as Fed easing expectations fade
EM Bond Spreads Tighten as Risk Appetite Returns on Peace Deal Hopes
Macro & Rates73d ago
EM Bond Spreads Tighten as Risk Appetite Returns on Peace Deal Hopes
Emerging market sovereign debt spreads compressed this week as geopolitical risk premiums declined across fixed income portfolios
IEA Ready for Oil Release After Past Draw Depleted 20% of Strategic Stocks
Macro & Rates74d ago
IEA Ready for Oil Release After Past Draw Depleted 20% of Strategic Stocks
Executive Director Fatih Birol said the agency stands prepared to coordinate additional strategic petroleum reserve releases if member nations request action
China Home Price Declines Slow Third Month as Developer Spreads Compress
Macro & Rates77d ago
China Home Price Declines Slow Third Month as Developer Spreads Compress
April data shows new home price drops eased for a third consecutive month, offering relief to global credit markets exposed to developer debt
Modena Car Attack Draws Brief Market Eye; No Rates Shift
Macro & Rates79d ago
Modena Car Attack Draws Brief Market Eye; No Rates Shift
A car drove into a crowd in Modena, Italy, injuring eight people, but bond markets showed no lasting reaction, maintaining focus on core economic drivers
BOJ's Himino Calls for Global Monetary System Overhaul as Rate Divergence Widens Spreads
Macro & Rates79d ago
BOJ's Himino Calls for Global Monetary System Overhaul as Rate Divergence Widens Spreads
Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Himino advocates for unified global monetary policy approach, citing financial stability risks from current divergences
U.S. Official Says China Soybean Demand Cooling
Macro & Rates81d ago
U.S. Official Says China Soybean Demand Cooling
A U.S. trade official's comment that China's soybean needs are "all taken care of" lowers expectations for new purchases, easing pressure on agricultural commodity prices
Wealth Inequality Backlash: Policy Risks Mount as Property Owners Feel Vilified, 10Y Yields Test Resistance
Macro & Rates85d ago
Wealth Inequality Backlash: Policy Risks Mount as Property Owners Feel Vilified, 10Y Yields Test Resistance
The growing resentment among affluent property holders, highlighted by recent reports
China Q1 Marriages Hit Record Low, Shows Structural Economic Drag
Macro & Rates85d ago
China Q1 Marriages Hit Record Low, Shows Structural Economic Drag
China recorded its lowest first-quarter marriage registrations, indicating demographic headwinds that will weigh on consumption and housing demand
Asia Equity Inflows Accelerate as Duration Risk Drives Rotation from U.S. Tech
Macro & Rates85d ago
Asia Equity Inflows Accelerate as Duration Risk Drives Rotation from U.S. Tech
Institutional flows target Asian markets as inverted U.S. yield curve and elevated Treasury duration risk prompt portfolio rebalancing
Asian Markets Draw Institutional Capital as Duration Risk Mounts in U.S. Treasuries
Macro & Rates86d ago
Asian Markets Draw Institutional Capital as Duration Risk Mounts in U.S. Treasuries
Fund managers reallocate toward Asian equities and bonds, seeking lower valuations and easing cycles as Fed maintains higher-for-longer stance
Intermediary Costs Keep Yield Curve Inverted as Duration Risk Climbs
Macro & Rates86d ago
Intermediary Costs Keep Yield Curve Inverted as Duration Risk Climbs
Structural markups from financial and supply chain intermediaries keep inflation elevated, forcing the Fed to maintain restrictive policy
UOB Q1 Profit Drops 18% As Asia Banks Face Margin Pressure—10-Year Treasury Falls
Macro & Rates88d ago
UOB Q1 Profit Drops 18% As Asia Banks Face Margin Pressure—10-Year Treasury Falls
Singapore bank's earnings miss signals tightening credit conditions across Asia-Pacific, driving flight to quality in global bond markets
China Opens Bond Futures to Foreign Investors as Pressure Mounts for Deeper Reforms
Macro & Rates89d ago
China Opens Bond Futures to Foreign Investors as Pressure Mounts for Deeper Reforms
Beijing grants access for select international institutions to its bond futures market in measured expansion of world's second-largest debt market
Telecom Italia Q1 Core Profit Down 2.7%—Leverage Concerns Persist
Macro & Rates89d ago
Telecom Italia Q1 Core Profit Down 2.7%—Leverage Concerns Persist
The decline in adjusted EBITDA raises questions about the company's debt servicing capacity and adds complexity to the proposed KKR acquisition
El Nino Probability at 60 Percent for Second Half 2026—Commodity Inflation Risk Rises
Macro & Rates89d ago
El Nino Probability at 60 Percent for Second Half 2026—Commodity Inflation Risk Rises
United States forecasters predict a strong El Nino, potentially driving agricultural commodity prices higher and complicating central bank disinflation efforts
DuPont Raises Forecast on Pricing Power, Geopolitical Costs
Macro & Rates89d ago
DuPont Raises Forecast on Pricing Power, Geopolitical Costs
Company's price hikes offset rising input costs linked to Iran conflict, showing corporate margin resilience amid inflation.
Toyota's EV Push Shows Industrial Policy Split, Bond Markets Watch Inflation
Macro & Rates89d ago
Toyota's EV Push Shows Industrial Policy Split, Bond Markets Watch Inflation
Toyota's electric vehicle push, driven by competition from Chinese manufacturers, shows global industrial changes with effects on supply chains and inflation in developed economies.
Federal Watchdog Closure Raises Fiscal Oversight Questions — Bond Markets Eye Long-Term Efficiency
Macro & Rates90d ago
Federal Watchdog Closure Raises Fiscal Oversight Questions — Bond Markets Eye Long-Term Efficiency
The administration’s decision to shutter the immigration detention watchdog office prompts market participants to reassess the commitment to fiscal transparency amid mounting national debt.
Hormuz Escalation Slams US Equities, S&P 500 Retreats 0.4 Percent
Macro & Rates91d ago
Hormuz Escalation Slams US Equities, S&P 500 Retreats 0.4 Percent
Geopolitical tensions surged in the Strait of Hormuz after a South Korean vessel explosion, with Iran asserting regional control, overshadowing robust first-quarter earnings and driving U.S. stock indices lower.
Geopolitical Tensions Drive Yield Volatility, Complicate Fed's Disinflationary Path
Macro & Rates91d ago
Geopolitical Tensions Drive Yield Volatility, Complicate Fed's Disinflationary Path
President Trump's call for South Korea to join a mission protecting ships near Iran introduces significant geopolitical risk, immediately impacting energy prices and central bank policy expectations.
Geopolitical Tensions Mount as Iran Claims Strait of Hormuz Standoff, Driving Safe-Haven Demand
Macro & Rates91d ago
Geopolitical Tensions Mount as Iran Claims Strait of Hormuz Standoff, Driving Safe-Haven Demand
Claims of a U.S. warship being turned back from the Strait of Hormuz, though denied by U.S. officials, inject a significant geopolitical risk premium into global energy and fixed-income markets.
Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Ignite Oil Surge, Threatening Disinflation Narrative
Macro & Rates91d ago
Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Ignite Oil Surge, Threatening Disinflation Narrative
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East elevate crude prices, challenging central bank disinflation narratives and forcing a re-evaluation of rate cut probabilities.
Adani Bid Affirmation Signals EM Credit Stability — Indian Spreads Likely to Compress
Macro & Rates91d ago
Adani Bid Affirmation Signals EM Credit Stability — Indian Spreads Likely to Compress
An Indian appeals tribunal's dismissal of Vedanta's challenge to Adani's Jaiprakash bid underscores strengthening legal certainty in emerging markets, potentially tightening corporate credit spreads and attracting foreign capital flows into the region.
UCB $2.2 Billion Buy Signals M&A Resilience Amid Stable Rates
Macro & Rates92d ago
UCB $2.2 Billion Buy Signals M&A Resilience Amid Stable Rates
Belgian pharma group UCB's substantial acquisition of Candid Therapeutics underscores how prevailing interest rate conditions and broader economic stability are shaping corporate M&A strategies and capital deployment.
Political Gerrymandering Elevates Policy Risk, Demands Higher U.S. Term Premiums
Macro & Rates92d ago
Political Gerrymandering Elevates Policy Risk, Demands Higher U.S. Term Premiums
Analysis by Reuters indicates over 90 percent of Americans live in politically uncompetitive districts, a structural issue demanding increased compensation from fixed income investors for policy uncertainty.
Geopolitical Commitments Stoke Inflationary Fears, Steepen Yield Curve Outlook
Macro & Rates92d ago
Geopolitical Commitments Stoke Inflationary Fears, Steepen Yield Curve Outlook
British Prime Minister Starmer's pledge for expanded defense collaboration with Ukraine signals persistent fiscal burdens and inflation risks, challenging global central bank disinflation efforts.