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Fixed Income

50 articles

Investment-Grade Data Center Debt Yields Turn Junk-Bond Cheap
Macro & Rates23h ago
Investment-Grade Data Center Debt Yields Turn Junk-Bond Cheap
Oracle and SpaceX bonds trade at speculative-grade levels as Microsoft-linked Project Odyssey draws $7.8 billion in orders for $3.9 billion offering.
BlackRock's $12.5B Data Center Bond Hits 7.53% — Widest Spread in 3 Years
Macro & RatesYesterday
BlackRock's $12.5B Data Center Bond Hits 7.53% — Widest Spread in 3 Years
A 1.6x demand multiple signals sharp deterioration in AI infrastructure credit appetite as spreads widen 288 basis points above Treasuries.
30-Year Treasuries Break 5% as Central Banks Hold Rates Steady
Macro & Rates2d ago
30-Year Treasuries Break 5% as Central Banks Hold Rates Steady
Long-duration yields climb globally as persistent monetary tightening keeps borrowing costs elevated; 10-year U.S. Treasury closes at 4.71% on July 31
Operation Twist Cut MBS Yields 50 Basis Points in September 2011
Macro & Rates3d ago
Operation Twist Cut MBS Yields 50 Basis Points in September 2011
The Fed's shift to reinvest agency MBS paydowns into MBS rather than Treasuries drove Ginnie Mae and Fannie Mae current coupon prices up 12 index points on Sept. 21, 2011
Aegon's Steepener Bet Defies Bessent's Long-Bond Rate Containment
Macro & Rates3d ago
Aegon's Steepener Bet Defies Bessent's Long-Bond Rate Containment
Aegon Asset Management maintains a yield-curve steepener position, betting Fed cuts in 2026 will compress short-end rates while long-term yields hold or rise, despite Treasury efforts to cap borrowing costs.
Australia's 4.5% July Jobless Rate Kills RBA Hike Odds
Macro & Rates4d ago
Australia's 4.5% July Jobless Rate Kills RBA Hike Odds
Unemployment rose above consensus, signaling the central bank will pause rate action at its September meeting and ending a tightening cycle.
Treasury Doubles Long-Bond Buybacks to $4B, Targets Yield Compression
Macro & Rates4d ago
Treasury Doubles Long-Bond Buybacks to $4B, Targets Yield Compression
Treasury expands liquidity operations in 10-30 year sector to $4 billion per operation, effective Sept. 9, as long-end yields reach multi-year highs
Treasury Yields Retreat as Auctions and Iran Risk Cloud Rate-Cut Outlook
Macro & Rates4d ago
Treasury Yields Retreat as Auctions and Iran Risk Cloud Rate-Cut Outlook
The 10-year yield fell to 4.708% Tuesday ahead of the 20-year auction, but inflation breakevens hardened and geopolitical uncertainty left the curve vulnerable to fresh selling.
French 30-Year Yield Hits Multi-Year High as Euro Zone Spread Widens
Macro & Rates4d ago
French 30-Year Yield Hits Multi-Year High as Euro Zone Spread Widens
France's long-end borrowing costs surged Wednesday as fiscal concerns widened the spread over German bunds, while oil's fourth straight gain kept inflation pressure on duration-heavy portfolios.
Ukraine's Corporate Bond Market Hits 24% Yields as Sovereign Compression Drives Retail Shift
Research & Analysis4d ago
Ukraine's Corporate Bond Market Hits 24% Yields as Sovereign Compression Drives Retail Shift
As government bond yields decline, Ukrainian retail investors are rotating into higher-yielding corporate debt, reshaping a market that was nearly dormant before the latest cycle.
Chinese Bonds Draw $2.5B in Foreign Inflows as Global Markets Sell
Research & Analysis4d ago
Chinese Bonds Draw $2.5B in Foreign Inflows as Global Markets Sell
Low inflation and coal-heavy energy mix let Beijing hold rates steady while peers hike, pulling capital from other emerging markets.
RBI Closes Dollar Swap Window Early, Rupee and Short-Term Bonds Sell Off
Research & Analysis5d ago
RBI Closes Dollar Swap Window Early, Rupee and Short-Term Bonds Sell Off
The Reserve Bank of India shut its FCNR(B) swap facility ahead of schedule, pushing the rupee to 95.61 per dollar and lifting the 10-year bond yield to 6.81 percent.
Bridgewater's China Fund Lost 5.6% in July as Iran War Hit Markets
Macro & Rates5d ago
Bridgewater's China Fund Lost 5.6% in July as Iran War Hit Markets
The selloff erased ground from a 45 percent gain in 2025, leaving Bridgewater's onshore strategy still ahead of local rivals despite its worst single-month loss since inception.
Treasury Basis Trade Stalls at $1 Trillion as Hedge Funds Hit Capacity
Macro & Rates6d ago
Treasury Basis Trade Stalls at $1 Trillion as Hedge Funds Hit Capacity
Morgan Stanley estimates leveraged basis positions have shrunk more than $200 billion, with a Goldman desk chief saying clients call the trade 'dead.'
China's July Data Miss Deepens as Investment Slump Grows
Macro & Rates6d ago
China's July Data Miss Deepens as Investment Slump Grows
Retail sales grew 0.6 percent year-over-year in July, urban fixed-asset investment contracted 6.7 percent year-to-date, and new bank loans posted their largest monthly decline on record.
European Stocks Hit Four-Year Earnings Peak as Capital Rotates From U.S
Macro & Rates6d ago
European Stocks Hit Four-Year Earnings Peak as Capital Rotates From U.S
The Stoxx 600 has gained 12 percent as investors exit U.S. tech exposure, drawn by the strongest European earnings season since 2022 and a euro above $1.15.
India's Early FCNR Swap Closure Pushes Short-Tenor Bond Yields Higher
Research & Analysis6d ago
India's Early FCNR Swap Closure Pushes Short-Tenor Bond Yields Higher
The RBI moved its diaspora-deposit hedging deadline to Aug. 31 after inflows topped $52 billion, lifting shorter-duration bond yields as banks lost a zero-cost hedge.
BlackRock Projects 11.6% Earnings Growth — and Cuts Government Bond Exposure
Macro & Rates6d ago
BlackRock Projects 11.6% Earnings Growth — and Cuts Government Bond Exposure
The firm's five-year assumptions target U.S. corporate profit growth seen in only 15 percent of historical periods, paired with a strategic underweight to developed market sovereign debt.
EM Debt's $886 Billion Rally Meets Selective Buyers as Spreads Tighten
Research & Analysis7d ago
EM Debt's $886 Billion Rally Meets Selective Buyers as Spreads Tighten
Hard currency spreads hit historically tight levels by May as distressed sovereigns led gains, but a drone strike on June 25 closed the quarter on a cautious note.
Economists' Rate Forecasts Miss Year After Year — The Philadelphia Fed Data Shows Why
Research & Analysis9d ago
Economists' Rate Forecasts Miss Year After Year — The Philadelphia Fed Data Shows Why
Philadelphia Fed survey data shows economists' median 10-year Treasury yield predictions have diverged from actual outcomes as a recurring structural pattern, not an occasional outlier.
Bond Correlations Are Breaking Down—Making Fixed Income Harder to Trade
Research & Analysis9d ago
Bond Correlations Are Breaking Down—Making Fixed Income Harder to Trade
AlphaSimplex's Kathryn Kaminski says bonds now respond to geopolitical risk and inflation rather than U.S. growth data, stripping traders of their traditional navigation tools.
BOJ Holds at 1% but Warns Inflation Will Exceed 2% Target — Yen Rallies to 157.96
Macro & Rates9d ago
BOJ Holds at 1% but Warns Inflation Will Exceed 2% Target — Yen Rallies to 157.96
An 8-1 vote to hold masks a hawkish inflation warning, joint currency intervention and a two-year yield at its highest level since May 1995.
Used Car Prices Rise Faster Than Bitcoin as Energy Supply Risks Mount
Macro & Rates10d ago
Used Car Prices Rise Faster Than Bitcoin as Energy Supply Risks Mount
Jim Bianco flags 'bubblicious' used car inflation outpacing Bitcoin while Vance's Ukraine tanker request and North Sea well closures tighten the crude outlook.
UK Buyer Enquiries Fall to August 2023 Lows as London Leads Downturn
Macro & Rates11d ago
UK Buyer Enquiries Fall to August 2023 Lows as London Leads Downturn
A RICS survey shows UK buyer enquiries and agreed sales dropped to their lowest since August 2023, with London and East Anglia seeing the sharpest declines.
Hormuz Closure Persists, Lifting Brent Near $85 — WTI Up 5% to $82.13
Macro & Rates11d ago
Hormuz Closure Persists, Lifting Brent Near $85 — WTI Up 5% to $82.13
Crude advances for a sixth session as U.S.-Iran talks over Strait traffic collapse, sustaining supply shocks that extend duration risk across fixed-income portfolios
Motor Vehicle Insurance Falls 0.3% in July, Pulling Headline CPI to 0.1% Monthly Gain
Macro & Rates11d ago
Motor Vehicle Insurance Falls 0.3% in July, Pulling Headline CPI to 0.1% Monthly Gain
Two consecutive monthly declines in auto insurance costs provided a rare deflationary impulse in services, even as annual CPI held at 3.4 percent.
ABN Amro Q1 Net Income Beats All Estimates at €692M; Shares Rise 7.9 Percent
Macro & Rates11d ago
ABN Amro Q1 Net Income Beats All Estimates at €692M; Shares Rise 7.9 Percent
The Dutch bank posted a 20 percent jump in fee income and raised its revenue outlook, sending shares to their highest single-session gain in months.
July Credit Inflows Hit $2.3 Billion as U.S. Consumer Debt Climbs to $1.26 Trillion
Macro & Rates12d ago
July Credit Inflows Hit $2.3 Billion as U.S. Consumer Debt Climbs to $1.26 Trillion
Investors moved into riskier bond segments last month even as New York Fed data showed consumer credit card debt at a record $1.26 trillion.
Bond Market Flags Systemic Risk in Inflation-Fueled Circular Financing
Macro & Rates12d ago
Bond Market Flags Systemic Risk in Inflation-Fueled Circular Financing
Veterans warn that relying on rising collateral values to justify leveraged structures repeats a pattern seen before past credit blowups.
Gold Tops $4,400 Ahead of CPI Report That Could Change Fed Rate Path
Macro & Rates12d ago
Gold Tops $4,400 Ahead of CPI Report That Could Change Fed Rate Path
Bullion hits a two-month high as traders weigh July inflation data, energy risks and Fed signals before Wednesday's Consumer Price Index release.
Strategy's STRC Preferred Stock Offers 11.5% Yield, Targets $300T Fixed Income Market
Digital Assets13d ago
Strategy's STRC Preferred Stock Offers 11.5% Yield, Targets $300T Fixed Income Market
The Bitcoin-backed preferred stock bridges traditional fixed income with digital assets, drawing $50 million from Strive.
IBM Returns to Canadian Bond Market After 14 Years as Maple Note Issuance Hits Record
Macro & Rates13d ago
IBM Returns to Canadian Bond Market After 14 Years as Maple Note Issuance Hits Record
International Business Machines Corp. is offering four- and eight-year Canadian dollar notes, its first such issuance since 2012, as foreign firms drive record Maple note volume.
Sugar Futures Hit 5.25-Year Lows as India, Brazil Flood Global Supply
Macro & Rates13d ago
Sugar Futures Hit 5.25-Year Lows as India, Brazil Flood Global Supply
StoneX projects a 2.9 million metric ton surplus for 2025-26, while French trader Sucres et Denrees says data gaps obscure the full extent of oversupply.
RBC Reopens $10 Billion High-Yield Fund After Two-Year Cap
Macro & Rates13d ago
RBC Reopens $10 Billion High-Yield Fund After Two-Year Cap
RBC Global Asset Management reopened its Phillips, Hager & North High Yield Bond Fund to new investors Aug. 6, 2026, citing attractive opportunities in the high-yield debt market
U.S. Investment-Grade Bond Issuance Hits $18 Billion, Most in Seven Months
Macro & Rates13d ago
U.S. Investment-Grade Bond Issuance Hits $18 Billion, Most in Seven Months
Nineteen firms tapped the U.S. corporate debt market Monday, marking the largest single-day issuance since April 30 as companies lock in funding.
Dutch Four-Day Week, Rising Sick Leave Tighten Labor Supply Outlook
Macro & Rates16d ago
Dutch Four-Day Week, Rising Sick Leave Tighten Labor Supply Outlook
Shorter work weeks and higher absenteeism in the Netherlands are compressing aggregate labor input, with direct implications for potential GDP and long-end bond yields.
30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.23%, a 19-Year High, as Fiscal Fears Deepen
Macro & Rates17d ago
30-Year Treasury Yield Hits 5.23%, a 19-Year High, as Fiscal Fears Deepen
Global bond and currency investors are debating a 'Sell America' trade after recent Washington policy decisions drove long-dated U.S. yields to levels last seen in 2006.
BP Sells North Sea Assets to Cut Debt; West Ham's £100M Transfer Loan Frozen
Macro & Rates19d ago
BP Sells North Sea Assets to Cut Debt; West Ham's £100M Transfer Loan Frozen
BP moves to shed UK oil, gas and biogas holdings as CEO Meg O'Neill targets faster debt reduction; a legal dispute over West Ham's ownership blocks £100 million in transfer funds.
Equinix Seeks $3 Billion in Bonds as AI Debt Spreads Widen
Macro & Rates23d ago
Equinix Seeks $3 Billion in Bonds as AI Debt Spreads Widen
The data center giant targets investment-grade buyers as credit spreads on technology infrastructure debt widen and duration risk mounts.
Foreign Funds Skip Nigeria's 66 Percent Equity Rally, Chase Bond Yields Instead
Macro & Rates23d ago
Foreign Funds Skip Nigeria's 66 Percent Equity Rally, Chase Bond Yields Instead
International institutional investors bypassed Nigeria's world-leading stock market this year, directing capital into sovereign debt drawn by high yields across the curve.
Two Saudi Tankers Go Dark in Red Sea, Lifting Oil Supply Risk
Macro & Rates24d ago
Two Saudi Tankers Go Dark in Red Sea, Lifting Oil Supply Risk
The vessels carrying crude for India disabled their AIS transponders to avoid detection in the high-risk waterway, pushing global freight insurance costs higher.
Builder Confidence Falls to 42 as Home Prices Drop 1.2 Percent
Macro & Rates25d ago
Builder Confidence Falls to 42 as Home Prices Drop 1.2 Percent
The NAHB Housing Market Index fell six points in July, its third straight monthly decline, as 7.15 percent mortgage rates erode demand and compress builder margins.
Deutsche Bank Q2 Fixed-Income Revenue Hits Record €2.6 Billion, Q3 Momentum Holds
Research & Analysis25d ago
Deutsche Bank Q2 Fixed-Income Revenue Hits Record €2.6 Billion, Q3 Momentum Holds
CFO Raja Akram said July trading remained strong after a 16 percent Q2 revenue surge beat analyst estimates and outpaced most U.S. rivals.
Hong Kong Tech Shorts Unwind as Korea Correlation Flips Positive
Macro & Rates25d ago
Hong Kong Tech Shorts Unwind as Korea Correlation Flips Positive
Global macro funds are closing short positions in Hong Kong tech after the 60-day rolling correlation with South Korean chip stocks swung from -0.35 to +0.15, breaking the pair trade thesis.
China Centralizes Iron Ore Buying, Putting Miners' Margins at Risk
Macro & Rates26d ago
China Centralizes Iron Ore Buying, Putting Miners' Margins at Risk
Beijing's state-backed CMRG now controls an estimated 70 percent of China's iron ore imports, shifting pricing power away from Rio Tinto, BHP and Vale.
Mexico Q2 GDP Estimated at 2.8% Annualized — Manufacturing, Consumption Drive Rebound
Macro & Rates27d ago
Mexico Q2 GDP Estimated at 2.8% Annualized — Manufacturing, Consumption Drive Rebound
Preliminary data shows Mexico's economy accelerating sharply from Q1's 0.5% pace, with Mbono spreads tightening and Banxico holding rates at 11% amid sticky inflation
Macquarie Sees Oil Glut Risk as Iran Deal Pressure Mounts Before Midterms
Macro & Rates27d ago
Macquarie Sees Oil Glut Risk as Iran Deal Pressure Mounts Before Midterms
Analysts say Washington faces a 100-day political window to de-escalate the Iran conflict, a move that could flood markets with sidelined crude.
China Industrial Profits Rise 6.8 Percent as Export Strength Masks Weak Domestic Demand
Macro & Rates27d ago
China Industrial Profits Rise 6.8 Percent as Export Strength Masks Weak Domestic Demand
Year-to-date profit growth slowed from 8.5 percent in May as property sector stress and soft consumer spending compressed margins despite a 7.5 percent surge in June exports.
WTI Crude Drop Steepens Yield Curve, Lifts December Cut Odds to 58%
Macro & Rates28d ago
WTI Crude Drop Steepens Yield Curve, Lifts December Cut Odds to 58%
Falling oil futures are feeding disinflationary expectations, pulling the two-year Treasury yield down 10 basis points and widening the 2s/10s spread to negative 47 basis points.
China's 320 Million Gig Workers Distort Labor Data, Cloud PBOC Policy
Macro & Rates28d ago
China's 320 Million Gig Workers Distort Labor Data, Cloud PBOC Policy
With nearly half its workforce now in informal roles, China faces mounting challenges to economic modeling, household demand and sovereign bond pricing