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Interest Rates

50 articles

Equinix Seeks $3 Billion in Bonds as AI Debt Spreads Widen
Macro & Rates3d ago
Equinix Seeks $3 Billion in Bonds as AI Debt Spreads Widen
The data center giant targets investment-grade buyers as credit spreads on technology infrastructure debt widen and duration risk mounts.
BOJ Holds at 0.1 Percent, Raises Growth Forecast — Next Hike Awaits Wage and Inflation Data
Research & Analysis3d ago
BOJ Holds at 0.1 Percent, Raises Growth Forecast — Next Hike Awaits Wage and Inflation Data
Japan's central bank held its policy rate and upgraded its growth outlook as investors, including Amundi Japan's Hiromi Ishihara, await concrete inflation and wage signals.
Builder Confidence Falls to 42 as Home Prices Drop 1.2 Percent
Macro & Rates5d ago
Builder Confidence Falls to 42 as Home Prices Drop 1.2 Percent
The NAHB Housing Market Index fell six points in July, its third straight monthly decline, as 7.15 percent mortgage rates erode demand and compress builder margins.
Fed Hold Through Q3 2026 Would Weaken Dollar, Push Oil Lower
Macro & Rates5d ago
Fed Hold Through Q3 2026 Would Weaken Dollar, Push Oil Lower
ING strategists say a prolonged Fed pause signals economic weakness, eroding the dollar's carry appeal and dampening crude demand.
Japan Core CPI at 2.8% Shows BoJ Rate Hike Path Ahead of July 30 Meeting
Macro & Rates7d ago
Japan Core CPI at 2.8% Shows BoJ Rate Hike Path Ahead of July 30 Meeting
Eighteen straight months above the 2 percent target have the Bank of Japan set to revise its inflation outlook higher and flag further tightening.
Oil Surge Makes July 31 FOMC Meeting Live as Hike Odds Rise
Macro & Rates9d ago
Oil Surge Makes July 31 FOMC Meeting Live as Hike Odds Rise
Bond markets are repricing a 25-basis-point hike at the July 31 Fed meeting after a sharp jump in oil prices reignited inflation concerns across duration-sensitive portfolios.
Unemployment Claims Hit 60-Year Low, Pushing Fed Cut Odds to 5%
Macro & Rates9d ago
Unemployment Claims Hit 60-Year Low, Pushing Fed Cut Odds to 5%
Weekly jobless claims fell to a near six-decade low, lifting the two-year Treasury yield 8 basis points and cutting September rate-cut odds to 5 percent.
Fed Cut Odds Collapse as Resilience Narrative Locks In Higher-for-Longer Rates
Macro & Rates9d ago
Fed Cut Odds Collapse as Resilience Narrative Locks In Higher-for-Longer Rates
Futures now price a 68 percent probability the first Fed cut comes no earlier than March 2027, up from 45 percent three months ago, as sticky inflation grinds down easing bets
Bank of Russia Cuts Key Rate 25 BPS to 14% as Drone Strikes Strain Economy
Macro & Rates10d ago
Bank of Russia Cuts Key Rate 25 BPS to 14% as Drone Strikes Strain Economy
Moscow shifts toward growth stimulus, accepting higher inflation risk as Ukrainian drone attacks erode refining capacity and supply chains.
Charter Launches $3 Billion Debt Exchange to Push Out Maturities
Macro & Rates10d ago
Charter Launches $3 Billion Debt Exchange to Push Out Maturities
The cable operator offers cash and new 10-year notes for bonds maturing 2027–2030, cutting near-term refinancing risk as higher-for-longer rates persist
Fed Drops Forward Guidance, Two-Year Treasury Yield Jumps 8 Basis Points
Macro & Rates10d ago
Fed Drops Forward Guidance, Two-Year Treasury Yield Jumps 8 Basis Points
The Federal Reserve's shift to data-dependent communication lifted the two-year yield to 4.97 percent and cut September pause odds to 72 percent.
Gold Falls a Second Day as Energy Surge Lifts Two-Year Treasury Yield to 4.96%
Macro & Rates10d ago
Gold Falls a Second Day as Energy Surge Lifts Two-Year Treasury Yield to 4.96%
Crude oil futures gained 2.1 percent, driving a hawkish repricing in bond markets and pushing the two-year Treasury yield up seven basis points to 4.96 percent.
GIC Posts First Negative Real Return on Record: -0.3% Over Five Years
Macro & Rates11d ago
GIC Posts First Negative Real Return on Record: -0.3% Over Five Years
Singapore's sovereign wealth fund recorded its first negative real return in public history, hit by duration losses in fixed income and late-cycle equity pressure.
ECB Holds Rates, Keeps Further Hikes on Table as Services Inflation Stays Hot
Macro & Rates11d ago
ECB Holds Rates, Keeps Further Hikes on Table as Services Inflation Stays Hot
The Governing Council held the deposit rate at 4.00 percent for a second straight meeting, with President Christine Lagarde leaving the door open to additional tightening.
Yen's Trade-Weighted Index Falls Broadly as BOJ Policy Divergence Widens
Macro & Rates12d ago
Yen's Trade-Weighted Index Falls Broadly as BOJ Policy Divergence Widens
The yen's broad decline against major trading partners reflects sustained pressure from global interest rate differentials and the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose policy stance.
5% 10-Year Yield Reprices Cash-Negative AI Firms as Bond Market Shifts
Macro & Rates12d ago
5% 10-Year Yield Reprices Cash-Negative AI Firms as Bond Market Shifts
A sustained 5 percent 10-year Treasury yield raises the cost of capital for speculative AI companies, echoing past rate cycles that crippled highly leveraged sectors.
Apple Gains as Nvidia, Amazon Fall on Inflation Data That Delays Fed Rate Cuts
U.S. Equities71d ago
Apple Gains as Nvidia, Amazon Fall on Inflation Data That Delays Fed Rate Cuts
May CPI rose 0.5 percent, above forecasts, pushing back rate cut expectations and hitting growth stocks while defensive plays outperform
Warsh Elected FOMC Chair; Two-Year Yield Rises 10 Bps to 4.95 Percent
Macro & Rates72d ago
Warsh Elected FOMC Chair; Two-Year Yield Rises 10 Bps to 4.95 Percent
President Trump's appointment of Kevin Warsh to lead the Federal Reserve's rate-setting committee immediately shifts market expectations toward a more restrictive monetary policy stance
Alphabet Drops 2.3%, Amazon Falls 2.1% as Bond Yields Hit Tech Stocks
U.S. Equities75d ago
Alphabet Drops 2.3%, Amazon Falls 2.1% as Bond Yields Hit Tech Stocks
High-growth technology shares face pressure as rising Treasury yields increase discount rates for future earnings
China Home Price Declines Slow Third Month as Developer Spreads Compress
Macro & Rates77d ago
China Home Price Declines Slow Third Month as Developer Spreads Compress
April data shows new home price drops eased for a third consecutive month, offering relief to global credit markets exposed to developer debt
Treasury Yields Climb Across Curve as Duration Risk Hammers Growth Stocks
Macro & Rates78d ago
Treasury Yields Climb Across Curve as Duration Risk Hammers Growth Stocks
Nasdaq falls 1.5 percent as bond market prices higher-for-longer Fed policy, compressing credit spreads and hitting tech valuations
Inflation Surge Hammers Nasdaq 1.5%; Nvidia Down 4.4% on Rate Hike Fears
U.S. Equities78d ago
Inflation Surge Hammers Nasdaq 1.5%; Nvidia Down 4.4% on Rate Hike Fears
April inflation data exceeded estimates, intensifying Fed tightening pressure and driving sharp declines in growth stocks
Warsh Hawkish Stance Drives Two-Year Treasury Yield Up 12 Basis Points to 5.15%
Macro & Rates81d ago
Warsh Hawkish Stance Drives Two-Year Treasury Yield Up 12 Basis Points to 5.15%
New Fed Chair emphasizes firm commitment to price stability, challenging rate cut expectations as short-dated Treasuries sell off
China Q1 Marriages Hit Record Low, Shows Structural Economic Drag
Macro & Rates85d ago
China Q1 Marriages Hit Record Low, Shows Structural Economic Drag
China recorded its lowest first-quarter marriage registrations, indicating demographic headwinds that will weigh on consumption and housing demand
Asia Equity Inflows Accelerate as Duration Risk Drives Rotation from U.S. Tech
Macro & Rates85d ago
Asia Equity Inflows Accelerate as Duration Risk Drives Rotation from U.S. Tech
Institutional flows target Asian markets as inverted U.S. yield curve and elevated Treasury duration risk prompt portfolio rebalancing
Two-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.98% as Inflation Persistence Kills Rate Cut Bets
Macro & Rates85d ago
Two-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.98% as Inflation Persistence Kills Rate Cut Bets
Fed funds futures now price 78% chance of June pause as shelter costs and energy prices maintain upward pressure
UOB Q1 Profit Drops 18% As Asia Banks Face Margin Pressure—10-Year Treasury Falls
Macro & Rates88d ago
UOB Q1 Profit Drops 18% As Asia Banks Face Margin Pressure—10-Year Treasury Falls
Singapore bank's earnings miss signals tightening credit conditions across Asia-Pacific, driving flight to quality in global bond markets
DuPont Raises Forecast on Pricing Power, Geopolitical Costs
Macro & Rates89d ago
DuPont Raises Forecast on Pricing Power, Geopolitical Costs
Company's price hikes offset rising input costs linked to Iran conflict, showing corporate margin resilience amid inflation.
Toyota's EV Push Shows Industrial Policy Split, Bond Markets Watch Inflation
Macro & Rates89d ago
Toyota's EV Push Shows Industrial Policy Split, Bond Markets Watch Inflation
Toyota's electric vehicle push, driven by competition from Chinese manufacturers, shows global industrial changes with effects on supply chains and inflation in developed economies.
Williams Affirms Fed Policy Adequacy — Yields Hold Firm Amidst Economic Uncertainty
Macro & Rates90d ago
Williams Affirms Fed Policy Adequacy — Yields Hold Firm Amidst Economic Uncertainty
New York Fed President John Williams stated the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is appropriately calibrated for current economic risks, signaling a sustained higher-for-longer rate environment.
Geopolitical Risk Premium Hardens, Yields Climb as Hormuz Transit Signals Inflationary Tailwinds
Macro & Rates91d ago
Geopolitical Risk Premium Hardens, Yields Climb as Hormuz Transit Signals Inflationary Tailwinds
A US-flagged Maersk ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz with military escort has amplified geopolitical tensions, signaling potential inflationary pressures that could impact central bank policy.
Hormuz Escalation Slams US Equities, S&P 500 Retreats 0.4 Percent
Macro & Rates91d ago
Hormuz Escalation Slams US Equities, S&P 500 Retreats 0.4 Percent
Geopolitical tensions surged in the Strait of Hormuz after a South Korean vessel explosion, with Iran asserting regional control, overshadowing robust first-quarter earnings and driving U.S. stock indices lower.
Geopolitical Tensions Drive Yield Volatility, Complicate Fed's Disinflationary Path
Macro & Rates91d ago
Geopolitical Tensions Drive Yield Volatility, Complicate Fed's Disinflationary Path
President Trump's call for South Korea to join a mission protecting ships near Iran introduces significant geopolitical risk, immediately impacting energy prices and central bank policy expectations.
Geopolitical Tensions Mount as Iran Claims Strait of Hormuz Standoff, Driving Safe-Haven Demand
Macro & Rates91d ago
Geopolitical Tensions Mount as Iran Claims Strait of Hormuz Standoff, Driving Safe-Haven Demand
Claims of a U.S. warship being turned back from the Strait of Hormuz, though denied by U.S. officials, inject a significant geopolitical risk premium into global energy and fixed-income markets.
UCB $2.2 Billion Buy Signals M&A Resilience Amid Stable Rates
Macro & Rates92d ago
UCB $2.2 Billion Buy Signals M&A Resilience Amid Stable Rates
Belgian pharma group UCB's substantial acquisition of Candid Therapeutics underscores how prevailing interest rate conditions and broader economic stability are shaping corporate M&A strategies and capital deployment.
Air Travel Disruptions Signal Lingering Supply-Side Inflationary Pressures
Macro & Rates92d ago
Air Travel Disruptions Signal Lingering Supply-Side Inflationary Pressures
Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy's warning to Spirit passengers underscores operational fragilities that continue to fuel services inflation, reinforcing a hawkish Federal Reserve stance and impacting duration risk.
Sumy Village Reports Ignite Geopolitical Risk, Bond Yields Reflect Flight to Safety
Macro & Rates92d ago
Sumy Village Reports Ignite Geopolitical Risk, Bond Yields Reflect Flight to Safety
Conflicting accounts regarding control of a key village in Ukraine’s Sumy region introduce fresh uncertainty, prompting institutional investors to reassess risk premiums across global fixed income markets.
Geopolitical Risk Premium Rises on Iran Rhetoric, Complicating Fed's Path
Macro & Rates93d ago
Geopolitical Risk Premium Rises on Iran Rhetoric, Complicating Fed's Path
Senator Lindsey Graham's call for decisive U.S. action against Iran injects new uncertainty into global markets, forcing a reassessment of inflation expectations and Treasury yields.
Berkshire's $11.35 Billion Earnings Signal Economic Resilience, Challenging Fed Rate Cut Hopes
Macro & Rates93d ago
Berkshire's $11.35 Billion Earnings Signal Economic Resilience, Challenging Fed Rate Cut Hopes
Robust quarterly results from Berkshire Hathaway underscore a surprisingly resilient U.S. economy, compelling the fixed income market to recalibrate its expectations for Federal Reserve policy easing.
NYC Policy Spat Signals Fiscal Headwinds, Bond Spreads Under Scrutiny
Macro & Rates94d ago
NYC Policy Spat Signals Fiscal Headwinds, Bond Spreads Under Scrutiny
A high-stakes meeting between Citadel CEO Ken Griffin and New York Governor Kathy Hochul highlights escalating policy tensions in the state, prompting concerns over capital flight and municipal bond stability amidst broader macroeconomic uncertainty.
Powell's Rate Path Reshapes Tech: Alphabet Soars, Nvidia Stumbles
U.S. Equities94d ago
Powell's Rate Path Reshapes Tech: Alphabet Soars, Nvidia Stumbles
The Federal Reserve's updated interest rate projections triggered a bifurcated response across U.S. equities, signaling a critical juncture for growth and value investors.
Consumer Spending Under Pressure as Fed Rates Bite; Discretionary Stocks Face Downside
U.S. Equities94d ago
Consumer Spending Under Pressure as Fed Rates Bite; Discretionary Stocks Face Downside
The Federal Reserve's sustained hawkish stance threatens to crimp consumer purchasing power, directly impacting discretionary spending and raising red flags for equity valuations across the board.
Geopolitical Tensions Escalate in Gulf, Driving Flight to Safety Across Yield Curve
Macro & Rates103d ago
Geopolitical Tensions Escalate in Gulf, Driving Flight to Safety Across Yield Curve
Iran's accusation against the United States over a vessel seizure in the Gulf of Oman injects significant risk premium into global markets, prompting a sharp bid for U.S. Treasuries and impacting inflation expectations.
Green Transition Reshapes Global Capital Flows, Intensifying Duration Risk
Macro & Rates104d ago
Green Transition Reshapes Global Capital Flows, Intensifying Duration Risk
The accelerating shift toward climate tech and clean energy is fundamentally altering fixed income landscapes, driving sovereign and corporate bond re-pricing amid evolving policy mandates and escalating investment.
Sticky March Inflation Pushes Fed Rate Cuts Deep Into 2026
Macro & Rates111d ago
Sticky March Inflation Pushes Fed Rate Cuts Deep Into 2026
Persistent price pressures in latest CPI report force bond markets to recalibrate expectations, solidifying a higher-for-longer rate outlook
IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecast to 2.5% on Middle East War Escalation
Macro & Rates112d ago
IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecast to 2.5% on Middle East War Escalation
Fund warns geopolitical tensions threaten supply chains, energy markets as inflation forecast rises to 4.5%
Energy Price Surge Ignites Inflation Worries, Pushing Yield Curve Steeper
Macro & Rates114d ago
Energy Price Surge Ignites Inflation Worries, Pushing Yield Curve Steeper
Climbing gasoline and airfares signal persistent inflation pressures, forcing bond markets to reprice rate cut expectations and increasing duration risk across fixed income portfolios
Oil Cargo Scramble Ignites Supply Fears, Yield Curve Signals Inflation Pressure
Macro & Rates114d ago
Oil Cargo Scramble Ignites Supply Fears, Yield Curve Signals Inflation Pressure
A desperate scramble for crude oil cargoes persists globally, signaling persistent inflationary forces that challenge central bank disinflation narratives
Crypto Fear Spikes as Mixed Equity Signals, Flat Yield Curve Signal Fed Uncertainty
Macro & Rates114d ago
Crypto Fear Spikes as Mixed Equity Signals, Flat Yield Curve Signal Fed Uncertainty
Cryptocurrency sentiment plummets to extreme fear levels while equities show mixed performance as bond markets continue pricing in prolonged higher rates
Consumer Credit Jumps 2.2%: Sticky Inflation Risk Rises
Macro & Rates118d ago
Consumer Credit Jumps 2.2%: Sticky Inflation Risk Rises
February's 2.2% SAAR rise in consumer credit, driven by nonrevolving loans, indicates robust demand and potential inflation stickiness, challenging the Fed's rate cut outlook.