Tag
Federal Reserve
50 articles
ZeroHedge Reports UBS Warns on Europe's Gas Buffer Ahead of Winter
ZeroHedge reported that UBS is sounding an alarm about Europe's gas reserves ahead of winter, projecting a "drawdown" within a month.
Peter Schiff Says Bond Vigilantes Are Here
Peter Schiff, chief economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, stated on X that bond markets reacted negatively despite a jobs report.
Nvidia Hits $237.88 on AI Demand; Street Eyes Further Upside
Nvidia shares reached an all-time intraday high Friday as a weaker-than-expected jobs report sparked a tech rally and renewed expectations for Fed rate cuts.
Michaël van de Poppe Says Stable Fed Rates Bullish for Bitcoin
Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Trading, stated on X that unchanged interest rates from the Federal Reserve are bullish for Bitcoin.
Nick Timiraos Says Labor Report Unlikely to Spur October Fed Rate Hike
The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent commented on the latest labor market data and its implications for Federal Reserve policy.
Mohamed El-Erian Reports Surprising US Jobs Data
Mohamed El-Erian detailed the latest US jobs report, noting lower-than-expected job creation and a rise in the unemployment rate.

September Jobs Miss Triggers Flight to Treasuries — 10-Year Yield Falls to 5.17%
U.S. payrolls fell 61,000 short of forecasts in September, crushing rate-hike odds and sending the 10-year Treasury yield down 6 basis points.
Kobeissi Letter Reports Drastic Drop in October Rate Hike Expectations
The Kobeissi Letter stated market expectations for an October rate hike fell to 17% after a weaker September jobs report.
Peter Schiff Says Labor Market Weak, Inflation Strong
Economist Peter Schiff stated on X that the U.S. labor market is weak despite persistent inflation.
September Payrolls Expected to Drop to 84,000—Early Show of Labor Market Deceleration
Wall Street forecasts a sharp slowdown in U.S. job growth to 84,000 for September as the Fed shifts focus to inflation despite stable employment conditions.

September Payrolls Seen at 90K as Labor Market Stabilizes
Nonfarm payrolls expected to cool to 90,000 in September after August's 162,000 gain, keeping unemployment at 4.1 percent and reducing odds of another Fed rate hike this year.
Nick Timiraos Reports Fed Vice Chair Shows Rate Hike Delay
Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent notes Philip Jefferson's comments suggesting more time before another rate adjustment, echoing New York Fed President John Williams.

MNT-Halan IPO Tests EM Capital Demand During High Treasury Yields
Egypt's fintech unicorn plans to sell a 20 percent stake, offering a real-time read on institutional appetite for emerging market growth at current discount rates.

10-Year Yield Hits 5.34%, Futures Price 92% Hike Odds
Treasury yields surge to 16-year highs as Fed futures signal rate increase despite Trump's calls for cuts
10-Year Yield Hits 5.208%, Highest Since June 2007
Long-term Treasury yields climbed to a 19-year high this week, driven by elevated inflation and expectations for further Federal Reserve rate hikes
Mohamed El-Erian Says Upward Pressure Dominates Bond Yields
Allianz Chief Economic Adviser Mohamed El-Erian noted that government bond yields are under sustained upward pressure, with UK and US yields reaching multi-year highs.
Peter Schiff Says 10-Year Treasury Yield Tops 5.33%, Debt Cost Rises
Peter Schiff, chief economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, warned that rising Treasury yields could push the annual cost of servicing the US national debt above Social Security expenditures.
Andy Constan Advises Selling Stocks for Bonds, Citing Improving Case
Andy Constan, CEO of Damped Spring Advisors, recommended a strategic shift from an all-stock portfolio to include inflation-protected and nominal bonds on X today.
Joe Weisenthal Says Market's Defining Feature Is Speed
Bloomberg journalist Joe Weisenthal claimed on X that market participants cannot recall a time when the market felt as fast as it does now.
Treasury Yields Hit Multi-Year Highs as BOJ Shows Faster Tightening
Softer August inflation failed to arrest the bond selloff as the Bank of Japan's hawkish pivot and persistent global price pressures keep duration under pressure
Dow's Worst Month Since March as Yields Grip; Chip Stocks Rally
The S&P 500 fell 0.3 percent Wednesday as Treasury yields stayed elevated, but Nvidia, AMD, and Micron drove the Nasdaq 100 to a 3.2 percent monthly gain
Lyn Alden Says Bond Market Dictates Interest Rates
Lyn Alden, founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy, stated on X that the bond market is driving interest rate adjustments.
Kashkari vs. Bubble Warnings: Is AI Growth Real or Mirage?
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari challenged the narrative that data center spending alone is propping up U.S. growth, while Michael Burry and Goldman Sachs warn of an AI financing bubble.
Kashkari Projects Two More Hikes Through 2027 as Neutral Rate Rises
Minneapolis Fed President signals additional tightening as he challenges assumptions about policy restrictiveness and elevated neutral rate
Bitcoin Spikes to $85,600 on PCE Data, Erases Gains as $55M Shorts Liquidate
Bitcoin surged to $85,600 Wednesday after August PCE inflation data beat expectations, triggering $55 million in short liquidations before a sharp pullback.

Nick Timiraos Says PCE Report Shows No Progress Towards 2% Inflation Since April 2025
The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent stated on X that August PCE data did not alter the known inflation trend.

Inflation Eases in August, Pushing Fed Rate Hike Odds to December
Consumer prices rose less than expected, with the core PCE index reaching 3.0 percent annually, shifting market bets away from an October rate increase.

ZeroHedge Reports Core PCE Inflation Cooler Than Expected
Financial blog ZeroHedge reported that August's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and core PCE inflation figures came in below economists' expectations.
Kobeissi Letter Reports US August PCE Inflation Falls Below Expectations
The markets commentary publication announced Wednesday that both headline and core US August PCE inflation metrics declined more than anticipated, leading to reduced October rate hike probabilities.
Gold Stalls at $4,180 as Fed Rate Hike Odds Clash With Geopolitical Risk
Spot gold held steady Wednesday as traders balanced a 92 percent probability of a December rate hike against oil-driven inflation hedging and Iran diplomacy signals.
Treasury Yields Hit 24-Year High; Capricor Rises on Deramiocel Data
The 30-year yield crested 5.6 percent as equity futures turned mixed, while Capricor Therapeutics jumped 17 percent on positive Hope-3 extension results for its lead candidate.
Gold Holds $4,360 as Oil Drops 10% on Iran Talks, Pressuring Rate Hike Case
Crude's sharp drop on diplomatic progress weakens inflation argument supporting higher-for-longer rates, reshaping gold's sensitivity to Fed policy.
Nick Timiraos Reports Fed Official Sees No Urgency for Rate Hike
The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent relayed New York Fed President John Williams's guidance against an immediate rate increase.

NY Fed's Williams Projects Two Percent GDP Growth, 2028 Inflation Target
New York Fed President Williams said the U.S. economy shows strong momentum and expects inflation to slow to just above two percent next year from 3.5 percent this year.

Meredith Whitney: U.S. Economic 'Underbelly' Weakness Will Lead to Q4 'Correction'
Financial analyst Meredith Whitney said Wall Street's focus on consumer resilience masks underlying fragility, forecasting a fourth-quarter 'reckoning'.

10-Year Treasury Yield Climbs to 5.04%, Highest Since 2007 as Oil Rises to $109
U.S. government borrowing costs climbed to levels not seen in nearly two decades, driven by rising oil prices and inflation concerns.
5% Treasury Yields Offer Buffer, Redraw Fixed-Income Investment Case
The 10-year Treasury yield's rise past 5 percent, a level not seen since 2007, is attracting new capital to fixed income despite anticipated Federal Reserve rate increases.
James Seyffart Highlights 'Absurd Price Inflation' in College Tuition
Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analyst James Seyffart criticized the current college tuition model, citing 'absurd price inflation' on X.
Andy Constan Says High Term Premiums Suggest Bull Case for Assets
Andy Constan, CEO of Damped Spring Advisors, stated on X that high term premiums could make holding assets more attractive.
Nick Timiraos Reports Fed Governor Cook Sees AI Driving Near-Term Inflation
Wall Street Journal's Nick Timiraos reported on Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook's view that AI investment is contributing to current inflation and the labor market can handle rate hikes.
Peter Schiff Predicts 30-Year Mortgage Rates Over 8% by Midterm Elections
Peter Schiff, chief economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, stated on X that the 10-year Treasury yield's current trajectory suggests 30-year mortgage rates will exceed 8% by early November.
Mohamed El-Erian Notes 10-Year Yield Hits 5.22%, Highest Since 2002
Mohamed El-Erian reported on X that the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield reached 5.22%, its highest level in over two decades, as Brent crude oil approached $110 per barrel.
Dan Tapiero Calls Japanese 2yr Rate a 'Once in a Lifetime Chart'
Dan Tapiero, founder and CEO of 10T Holdings, stated on X that the two-year Japanese interest rate represents a unique market opportunity with significant upside.
ZeroHedge Cites GS Report on US Equities Refusing to Price Panic
Financial markets blog ZeroHedge highlighted a Goldman Sachs report indicating that US equities are not reflecting broader market panic despite low sentiment and high bond volatility.
South Korea 3-Year Yield Hits 4.014% — Highest Since November 2023
Seoul's three-year treasury yield breached 4% for the first time in nearly three years as U.S. rate pressures and Middle East oil surge compress duration across the curve.
Nick Timiraos Says White House Economic Theory on Rates Failed
The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent claimed that the Trump administration's theory on lowering long-term interest rates through fiscal restraint did not materialize due to policy choices.
Peter Schiff Warns of New High Debt, High Interest Rate U.S. Economy
Economist Peter Schiff claimed on X that the United States is entering an era of high debt and high interest rates.
Kobeissi Letter Reports Consumer Sentiment Near Historic Lows
The Kobeissi Letter stated that the Consumer Sentiment Index dropped to its second-lowest level in history in September.
Peter Schiff Warns S&P 500 Could Crash Nearly 50% During Poor Breadth
Peter Schiff highlighted concerning market breadth on X, comparing current conditions to periods preceding significant S&P 500 declines.

Mohamed El-Erian Notes Record $942 Billion Foreign Inflow into US Equities
Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, highlighted a record $942 billion net purchase of US equities by foreign investors over 12 months, signaling a significant shift away from debt.