Federal Reserve

Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, highlighted the U.S. dollar's appreciation to a level last seen in April 2025.

San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said AI is not fueling inflation now but could contribute to price increases down the road.

November existing home sales fell below consensus, signaling duration upside if Fed pivots dovish on cooling demand.

The Kobeissi Letter, a markets commentary publication, reported on X that US core CPI and Supercore CPI inflation surged in October.

Gold fell below $4,000 an ounce as bond traders price in higher probability of a Fed rate hike, reshaping duration risk across fixed-income portfolios

Economist Peter Schiff stated on X that investors should 'Buy gold' because upcoming Federal Reserve rate hikes will be ineffective against rising inflation.

The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent stated on X that a Federal Reserve rate hike in December is now undeniable, with discussion shifting to the increment of the increase.

ZeroHedge on X reported that Goldman Sachs now anticipates a third interest rate hike in March 2027 following persistent inflation data.

Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal claimed on X that central bank money printing devalues the dollar by approximately 8% annually, driving asset prices higher.

The Treasury's weak 10-year note auction pushed clearing yields above pre-bid levels while foreign participation plummeted, forcing domestic buyers to absorb the bulk of new issuance.

Bond yields surge on hotter-than-expected inflation data and Federal Reserve officials' warnings of more aggressive rate hikes ahead.

Peter Schiff, chief economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, warned on X that current Federal Reserve plans are insufficient to prevent rising inflation.

Gokhshtein Media founder David Gokhshtein highlighted October's core inflation data, noting it meets a Federal Reserve official's condition for a significant rate increase.

Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz, reported a notable decline in average US gasoline and diesel prices, alongside a drop in international crude prices, on X today.

David Gokhshtein, founder of Gokhshtein Media, reported today on X that Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller expressed support for a December rate hike.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller backed a December rate increase and warned of a half-point move if price pressures persist, tightening the higher-for-longer narrative.

The investment firm links higher yields directly to economic resilience, with yields pressured higher until U.S. growth shows clear signs of deceleration

Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent Nick Timiraos reported that Fed Governor Chris Waller supports a December rate increase, even with improved inflation.

Fed Governor's upward r-star estimate implies current rates carry less economic drag, pressuring longer-dated Treasuries and duration risk.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller's hawkish pivot signals continued tightening into year-end, forcing bond traders to reprice short-end Treasury yields and duration exposure.

The financial markets commentary publication stated that total US consumer credit reached an all-time high in September, indicating consumers are increasing debt to manage inflation.

Harvard economist Jason Furman announced a new online tool that allows users to run simulations based on the Federal Reserve's FRB/US macroeconomic model.

Falling crude prices reduce near-term inflation concerns, prompting bond markets to price in softer Fed rate expectations.

The Wall Street Journal's chief economics correspondent reported economists anticipate core CPI growth to have slowed in October.

Long-term fixed income data shows periods of yield pressure typically precede rallies, but structural inflation shifts may break the pattern.

Investment strategist Lyn Alden reiterated her bullish outlook on Japanese public equities, citing opportunities for value investors on X.

The chief economic adviser at Allianz highlighted that the energy sector experienced greater declines last week compared to tech stocks.

The Harvard economist and former CEA chair offered a public service announcement on X regarding the U-3 and U-6 unemployment measures.

Andy Constan, CEO of Damped Spring Advisors, stated on X that he closed his short positions for the weekend while maintaining a "very bearish" market outlook.

Weekly H.8 report reveals changes in bank lending, deposits and Treasury holdings that signal credit conditions and monetary policy transmission

The chief economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management claimed a turn in political policy would lead to inflation, boosting gold.

BlockTower Capital co-founder Ari Paul stated on X that one of the best macro setups of his lifetime is forming, signaling the end of the post-WW2 economic and geopolitical framework.

Peter Schiff, chief economist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, outlined a dire economic forecast on X, predicting massive deficits and a tanking U.S. dollar.

Mohamed El-Erian stated the Bank of England raised interest rates by 25 basis points and cautioned that inflation could peak at 4.9% next year.

Damped Spring Advisors CEO Andy Constan announced on X a reduction in his firm's "anti growth" market bet by closing out a significant long bond position.

Mohamed El-Erian highlighted a growing risk of property exits due to high debt refinancing costs, citing a Brookfield example from the Wall Street Journal.

Economist Peter Schiff claimed on X that interest payments on the U.S. national debt are rapidly increasing, soon to exceed Social Security outlays.

The chief economic adviser at Allianz highlighted the stability of 10-year US Treasury yields despite significant movements in other market indicators.

Bond market braces for employment data that could validate further rate increases and extend duration pain across the curve.

Bloomberg journalist Joe Weisenthal publicly asked for opinions on a potential congestion tax for meal delivery services using e-bike lanes on X.

Anthony Pompliano, a prominent investor, asserted on X that the public underestimates the extent of government money printing projected for the next decade.

Mohamed El-Erian reported significant dispersion across and within asset classes in October, highlighting specific market movements on X.

Financial markets blog ZeroHedge reported on Sunday that Goldman Sachs identified a significant $19.5 billion dump in gold futures, attributing it to "Fear Of Sovereign Liquidity Management" before gold broke the $4,000 mark.

Harvard economist Jason Furman shared his view on the application of dynamic scoring in fiscal policy analysis on X.

Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal posted on X about an impending economic shift within four years, advising investment in technology and scarce assets.

Michaël van de Poppe stated on X that high inflation and a widening wealth gap are leading to societal breakdown and unrest in Western Europe.

Financial markets blog ZeroHedge stated on X that the probability of US national debt reaching $41 trillion this year has risen sharply to 57%.

Charles Schwab's chief investment strategist Liz Ann Sonders shared recent Employment Cost Index data on X, noting labor cost growth lagged behind consumer inflation in September.

Employment Cost Index matched expectations in Q3, leaving bond markets unmoved and Fed rate-cut odds unchanged

Financial markets blog ZeroHedge reported the Bank of Japan's latest monetary policy decision, maintaining its key overnight call rate.