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Commodities

29 articles

Fidelity Eyes $4,650–$4,750 Gold Entry as Rate Uncertainty Lifts Bullion Case
Macro & Rates7h ago
Fidelity Eyes $4,650–$4,750 Gold Entry as Rate Uncertainty Lifts Bullion Case
Portfolio manager George Efstathopoulos plans to allocate 5 percent of a $3 billion fund to gold, with buy triggers set 5–7 percent below current spot prices near $5,000.
Freeport-McMoRan Hits $74.52 on Q2 Beat, Copper Deficit Set to Drive Upside
U.S. Equities2d ago
Freeport-McMoRan Hits $74.52 on Q2 Beat, Copper Deficit Set to Drive Upside
FCX surged 4.1 percent Aug. 21 after beating Q2 revenue and earnings estimates, with management guiding to 32 percent copper production growth by 2028 as global supply tightens.
NatGas Futures Rise 3.5% on Heat Forecasts; Supply Glut Caps Rally
Macro & Rates2d ago
NatGas Futures Rise 3.5% on Heat Forecasts; Supply Glut Caps Rally
September contracts climb to $2.87/MMBtu as cooling demand rises, but record production and above-average inventories limit upside.
Oil Market Buffers Exhausted After 1.1B Barrel Hormuz Shortfall
Macro & Rates3d ago
Oil Market Buffers Exhausted After 1.1B Barrel Hormuz Shortfall
Supply cushions that absorbed a record disruption are now depleted, leaving crude markets vulnerable to fresh shocks and inflation risks for fixed-income investors.
Silver Surges to $65.88 as Yield Collapse and Dollar Weakness Align
Macro & Rates5d ago
Silver Surges to $65.88 as Yield Collapse and Dollar Weakness Align
Silver jumps more than $2 to $65.88 per ounce as falling Treasury yields and a softer dollar compress real rates and expand non-dollar demand.
National Diesel Average Hits $5.45 in Latest EIA Weekly Survey
Macro & Rates6d ago
National Diesel Average Hits $5.45 in Latest EIA Weekly Survey
The Energy Information Administration's Monday retail survey shows on-highway diesel up sharply, adding direct cost pressure to freight-dependent supply chains.
Copper's LME Spread Hits Widest Since 2021 as Physical Supply Tightens
Research & Analysis6d ago
Copper's LME Spread Hits Widest Since 2021 as Physical Supply Tightens
The August-to-September spread on the London Metal Exchange reached $370 per ton Friday, the widest one-month gap in five years, as physical copper availability tightens sharply.
U.S. Gulf Coast Ethylene Falls 17% as Iran War Premium Fades
Macro & Rates6d ago
U.S. Gulf Coast Ethylene Falls 17% as Iran War Premium Fades
Spot ethylene posted its third straight weekly loss and PGP its fourth as June export demand cools from the spike driven by the Iran conflict.
Gold Breaks $4,400 as Fed Rate Hike Probability Falls to 15 Percent
Research & Analysis7d ago
Gold Breaks $4,400 as Fed Rate Hike Probability Falls to 15 Percent
Spot gold crossed $4,400 per ounce in European trading as weak U.S. retail and sentiment data pushed FOMC rate hike odds to their lowest in months.
German Q4 Power Trades Above 2027 Strip — A Spread Last Seen in the 2022 Crisis
Macro & Rates9d ago
German Q4 Power Trades Above 2027 Strip — A Spread Last Seen in the 2022 Crisis
Winter supply fears have flipped the German forward curve: Q4 2026 and Q1 2027 contracts now price above the full-year 2027 strip, echoing the energy crunch of four years ago.
LME Copper Spread Hits Highest Level Since 2021 Squeeze
Research & Analysis10d ago
LME Copper Spread Hits Highest Level Since 2021 Squeeze
The Tom/next spread briefly reached $100 a ton Wednesday as long holders sitting on 130,000 tons of Jan. contracts pushed spot prices sharply above deferred futures.
Used Car Prices Rise Faster Than Bitcoin as Energy Supply Risks Mount
Macro & Rates10d ago
Used Car Prices Rise Faster Than Bitcoin as Energy Supply Risks Mount
Jim Bianco flags 'bubblicious' used car inflation outpacing Bitcoin while Vance's Ukraine tanker request and North Sea well closures tighten the crude outlook.
Nikkei 225 Jumps 2% as CoreWeave Gains; CPI Data Approaches for Rate Path
Macro & Rates12d ago
Nikkei 225 Jumps 2% as CoreWeave Gains; CPI Data Approaches for Rate Path
Japan's benchmark index climbs to 66,890.02 as AI-linked shares advance; bond traders brace for U.S. inflation data that could reset rate-cut odds.
Sugar Futures Hit 5.25-Year Lows as India, Brazil Flood Global Supply
Macro & Rates13d ago
Sugar Futures Hit 5.25-Year Lows as India, Brazil Flood Global Supply
StoneX projects a 2.9 million metric ton surplus for 2025-26, while French trader Sucres et Denrees says data gaps obscure the full extent of oversupply.
Demand Destruction, Not Inventory Drawdowns, Contained Oil Prices During Supply Shock
Research & Analysis16d ago
Demand Destruction, Not Inventory Drawdowns, Contained Oil Prices During Supply Shock
Global oil supply losses of 11.1 million barrels per day failed to trigger a price surge as demand collapsed, but China's finite stockpiles signal a winter crunch.
Indonesia's Conflicting Nickel Quota Shows Drive Price Swings, Complicate Supply Outlook
Research & Analysis18d ago
Indonesia's Conflicting Nickel Quota Shows Drive Price Swings, Complicate Supply Outlook
Official denials of broad 2026 quota increases clashed with earlier expansion reports, whipsawing spot nickel prices and leaving traders without a clear read on Jakarta's production strategy.
Glencore's H1 EBITDA Surges 86 Percent on Copper Rally and Trading Desk Arbitrage
Research & Analysis19d ago
Glencore's H1 EBITDA Surges 86 Percent on Copper Rally and Trading Desk Arbitrage
The diversified miner's first-half earnings jumped on a 39 percent copper price increase and near-record trading profits fueled by Middle East tensions and new tariff regimes.
China Centralizes Iron Ore Buying, Putting Miners' Margins at Risk
Macro & Rates27d ago
China Centralizes Iron Ore Buying, Putting Miners' Margins at Risk
Beijing's state-backed CMRG now controls an estimated 70 percent of China's iron ore imports, shifting pricing power away from Rio Tinto, BHP and Vale.
El Niño Deepens Asia's Rice Supply Crisis After India Export Curbs
Research & Analysis29d ago
El Niño Deepens Asia's Rice Supply Crisis After India Export Curbs
Rainfall deficits across Southeast and South Asia compound elevated fuel and fertilizer costs, threatening yields and regional food stability.
Vitol Pays $5.9 Billion to Traders as Annual Profit Halves to $4.2 Billion
Research & Analysis30d ago
Vitol Pays $5.9 Billion to Traders as Annual Profit Halves to $4.2 Billion
The commodity giant returned capital to employee-owners through share buybacks even as profit fell sharply, reflecting a strategic focus on talent retention.
Tokenized Gold Hits $5 Billion as Digital Commodities Find On-Chain Home
Digital Assets92d ago
Tokenized Gold Hits $5 Billion as Digital Commodities Find On-Chain Home
Gold-backed tokens now represent over 90 percent of tokenized commodity value as investors seek stable blockchain assets
IEA Ready for Oil Release After Past Draw Depleted 20% of Strategic Stocks
Macro & Rates95d ago
IEA Ready for Oil Release After Past Draw Depleted 20% of Strategic Stocks
Executive Director Fatih Birol said the agency stands prepared to coordinate additional strategic petroleum reserve releases if member nations request action
Venture Global Rises 24% on Strong LNG Demand and Project Progress
U.S. Equities99d ago
Venture Global Rises 24% on Strong LNG Demand and Project Progress
The U.S. liquefied natural gas developer draws institutional interest as global energy demand supports pricing and project milestones approach
El Nino Probability at 60 Percent for Second Half 2026—Commodity Inflation Risk Rises
Macro & Rates110d ago
El Nino Probability at 60 Percent for Second Half 2026—Commodity Inflation Risk Rises
United States forecasters predict a strong El Nino, potentially driving agricultural commodity prices higher and complicating central bank disinflation efforts
Geopolitical Risk Premium Hardens, Yields Climb as Hormuz Transit Signals Inflationary Tailwinds
Macro & Rates111d ago
Geopolitical Risk Premium Hardens, Yields Climb as Hormuz Transit Signals Inflationary Tailwinds
A US-flagged Maersk ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz with military escort has amplified geopolitical tensions, signaling potential inflationary pressures that could impact central bank policy.
Aluminum Supply Hole Forecast Fuels Inflationary Pressures, Duration Risk Rises
Macro & Rates115d ago
Aluminum Supply Hole Forecast Fuels Inflationary Pressures, Duration Risk Rises
JPMorgan's assessment of a significant aluminum supply deficit signals potential for sustained commodity-driven inflation, forcing a re-evaluation of central bank policy and duration exposure across fixed income portfolios.
Persian Gulf Mine Threat Fuels Oil Spike, Defense Gains — Who Profits from Rising Risk?
Politics & Policy130d ago
Persian Gulf Mine Threat Fuels Oil Spike, Defense Gains — Who Profits from Rising Risk?
The U.S. Navy's escalating confrontation with Iranian mine-laying operations in the Strait of Hormuz is sending crude prices soaring, enriching defense contractors, and forcing a recalibration of global financial risk.
Asia Manufacturing Resilience Masks War-Driven Inflationary Pressures
Macro & Rates145d ago
Asia Manufacturing Resilience Masks War-Driven Inflationary Pressures
Robust factory output across Asia provides a critical global economic anchor, yet escalating geopolitical tensions are now visibly driving up commodity prices, forcing central banks to confront persistent inflationary risks.
Inflation Shock: Pce Blowout Ignites Hawkish FED Fears, Rates Reprice
Macro & Rates149d ago
Inflation Shock: Pce Blowout Ignites Hawkish FED Fears, Rates Reprice
February's Core PCE surged to 3.8% annually, defying consensus and forcing markets to recalibrate 2026 rate cut expectations, signaling a prolonged fight against inflation.