Palantir Technologies (PLTR) shares jumped 5.17 percent Friday after Barclays initiated coverage with an overweight rating and a $265 price target—implying 60 percent upside from recent levels.

Barclays analyst Anthony Valentini began tracking the software company Thursday evening, part of a broader sector coverage launch focused on defense, aerospace and related stocks. Palantir qualifies because of its entrenched client relationships across the U.S. military-industrial complex.

Valentini's thesis rests on a specific catalyst: he sees the U.S. entering the early stages of a new industrial cycle in defense and aerospace, where AI-enhanced data analytics—Palantir's core strength—will become mission-critical. The company's Gotham and Foundry platforms are already embedded in mission planning, threat assessment and logistics across multiple agencies and contractors.

The analyst projects years of meaningful fundamental growth ahead as Palantir expands its customer footprint in both the public sector and the private defense industrial base. Recent international wins signal the company's ability to penetrate allied defense markets, opening a second growth vector outside the U.S.

Valentini acknowledged valuations are stretched—the stock already prices in considerable upside. But for portfolio managers betting on a sustained defense spending cycle and AI adoption in highly regulated sectors where switching costs are enormous, the risk-reward favors continued outperformance.