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ADA$0.222−3.55%ETH$2,366−2.19%LINK$12.03−3.16%SOL$102.27−1.84%BTC$80,952−0.77%XRP$1.31−1.73%S&P 5007,719−1.11%Nasdaq26,693−1.88%Dow51,621−0.09%RUT2,730−1.93%TNX5.19%−0.52%TYX5.53%−0.68%FVX4.99%−0.30%IRX4.08%+0.69%VIX17.61+15.32%GOLD$4,174.90+1.63%SILVER$56.85+1.74%OIL$93.87−0.03%DXY102.08−0.46%NVDA$221.30−3.16%AAPL$342.96+0.50%TSLA$367.16−2.15%META$737.54−3.27%MSFT$533.69−1.80%AMZN$254.08−1.74%GOOGL$347.64−1.74%Fear & Greed53 — NeutralADA$0.222−3.55%ETH$2,366−2.19%LINK$12.03−3.16%SOL$102.27−1.84%BTC$80,952−0.77%XRP$1.31−1.73%S&P 5007,719−1.11%Nasdaq26,693−1.88%Dow51,621−0.09%RUT2,730−1.93%TNX5.19%−0.52%TYX5.53%−0.68%FVX4.99%−0.30%IRX4.08%+0.69%VIX17.61+15.32%GOLD$4,174.90+1.63%SILVER$56.85+1.74%OIL$93.87−0.03%DXY102.08−0.46%NVDA$221.30−3.16%AAPL$342.96+0.50%TSLA$367.16−2.15%META$737.54−3.27%MSFT$533.69−1.80%AMZN$254.08−1.74%GOOGL$347.64−1.74%Fear & Greed53 — Neutral

Tag

quantitative trading

1 article

Research & Analysis182d ago

Prediction Markets Overprice Event Risk: Polymarket Bot Exposes Systemic Bias

A continuously profitable bot on Polymarket, consistently betting against major news events, reveals a deep-seated behavioral bias in how decentralized prediction markets price tail risk.