Tag

cpi

10 articles

Treasury Yields Hit 3-Year High as Oil Surge Shows Persistent Rate Pressures
Research & Analysis25d ago
Treasury Yields Hit 3-Year High as Oil Surge Shows Persistent Rate Pressures
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 4.9708%, driven by Brent crude above $108 and Middle East supply disruptions that signal sustained inflation headwinds.
PPI at 5.4% Pushes September Hike Odds to 63% — Duration Risk Peaks
Macro & Rates26d ago
PPI at 5.4% Pushes September Hike Odds to 63% — Duration Risk Peaks
Producer prices jumped 0.4% in August as prediction markets price in a rate hike at the Fed's Sept. 15-16 meeting; Friday's CPI report will be decisive.
Waller Shows CPI as Pivot Point — Futures Price 50-50 Odds on September Hike
Macro & Rates32d ago
Waller Shows CPI as Pivot Point — Futures Price 50-50 Odds on September Hike
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller downplayed August payrolls data, positioning next week's consumer price report as the deciding factor for the central bank's September rate decision.
Germany's August HICP at 2.9% Misses 3.1% Forecast; Energy Surge to 10.5% Complicates ECB Pause Case
Macro & Rates36d ago
Germany's August HICP at 2.9% Misses 3.1% Forecast; Energy Surge to 10.5% Complicates ECB Pause Case
Flash data shows HICP and national CPI both at 2.9 percent year-over-year, but energy prices jumped 10.5 percent from July's 8.3 percent, keeping headline inflation 90 basis points above the ECB's 2 percent target.
CPI Holds at 3.4%, Core Slips to 2.5% — Warsh Gets Room to Pause in September
Macro & Rates55d ago
CPI Holds at 3.4%, Core Slips to 2.5% — Warsh Gets Room to Pause in September
Underlying inflation cooled for a second straight month in July, giving Fed Chair Kevin Warsh cover to hold rates steady at the September meeting.
Motor Vehicle Insurance Falls 0.3% in July, Pulling Headline CPI to 0.1% Monthly Gain
Macro & Rates55d ago
Motor Vehicle Insurance Falls 0.3% in July, Pulling Headline CPI to 0.1% Monthly Gain
Two consecutive monthly declines in auto insurance costs provided a rare deflationary impulse in services, even as annual CPI held at 3.4 percent.
Yen Options Rise Ahead of CPI; Sept. Fed Hike Odds Sit at 48 Percent
Macro & Rates56d ago
Yen Options Rise Ahead of CPI; Sept. Fed Hike Odds Sit at 48 Percent
Traders shift to derivatives for yen exposure before Wednesday's inflation data as U.S.-Iran deal uncertainty keeps currency and energy markets on edge.
July CPI Forecast at 3.4% Puts Fed Pause Under Pressure as Yields Face Renewed Test
Macro & Rates56d ago
July CPI Forecast at 3.4% Puts Fed Pause Under Pressure as Yields Face Renewed Test
Economists project a 0.1 percent monthly CPI gain for July and 3.4 percent year-over-year, enough to keep the short end of the yield curve on edge.
Copper Holds Six-Month High as Fed Hike Odds Hit 44% Before Wednesday CPI
Macro & Rates57d ago
Copper Holds Six-Month High as Fed Hike Odds Hit 44% Before Wednesday CPI
Copper steadied after six weeks of gains while traders weighed tightening supply, a 44 percent Fed hike probability and geopolitical risk in Middle East shipping lanes.
CPI Print and Nvidia Earnings Set to Redirect On-Chain Capital Into RWA Yields
DeFi & On-Chain60d ago
CPI Print and Nvidia Earnings Set to Redirect On-Chain Capital Into RWA Yields
The July CPI report on Aug. 12 and Nvidia's Q2 earnings on Aug. 26 will shape rate expectations and AI spending, pressuring native DeFi yields against tokenized Treasuries.