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13 articles

Treasury Buyback Plan Fails to Stabilize Yields; Bessent's Credibility at Risk
Macro & Rates1h ago
Treasury Buyback Plan Fails to Stabilize Yields; Bessent's Credibility at Risk
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's announcement to double bond buybacks initially drove yields lower, but the market quickly reversed, raising questions about the intervention's credibility and effectiveness.
$16 Billion 20-Year Auction Eyes Record Yield as Long-End Selloff Continues
Macro & Rates7d ago
$16 Billion 20-Year Auction Eyes Record Yield as Long-End Selloff Continues
The Treasury is set to sell $16 billion in 20-year debt Wednesday with when-issued yields at 5.27 percent — the highest for that tenor since its 2020 reintroduction.
Yen Options Rise Ahead of CPI; Sept. Fed Hike Odds Sit at 48 Percent
Macro & Rates11d ago
Yen Options Rise Ahead of CPI; Sept. Fed Hike Odds Sit at 48 Percent
Traders shift to derivatives for yen exposure before Wednesday's inflation data as U.S.-Iran deal uncertainty keeps currency and energy markets on edge.
Nikkei 225 Jumps 2% as CoreWeave Gains; CPI Data Approaches for Rate Path
Macro & Rates12d ago
Nikkei 225 Jumps 2% as CoreWeave Gains; CPI Data Approaches for Rate Path
Japan's benchmark index climbs to 66,890.02 as AI-linked shares advance; bond traders brace for U.S. inflation data that could reset rate-cut odds.
Speculative Credit Spreads Widen as Growth Assumptions Break Down
Macro & Rates29d ago
Speculative Credit Spreads Widen as Growth Assumptions Break Down
Bondholders in high-growth frontier sectors face mark-to-market losses as higher discount rates gut long-dated revenue projections and push default risk higher.
DOJ Sues Minnesota Over Climate Lawsuit, Fueling Macro Uncertainty for Energy, Rates
Macro & Rates110d ago
DOJ Sues Minnesota Over Climate Lawsuit, Fueling Macro Uncertainty for Energy, Rates
The Justice Department's intervention in Minnesota's climate change lawsuit signals a potential federal policy shift impacting energy markets, inflation expectations, and fixed-income duration risk.
Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Ignite Oil Surge, Threatening Disinflation Narrative
Macro & Rates111d ago
Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Ignite Oil Surge, Threatening Disinflation Narrative
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East elevate crude prices, challenging central bank disinflation narratives and forcing a re-evaluation of rate cut probabilities.
Exxon Profit Surprises Analysts Despite Iran War — Inflationary Pressures Persist
Macro & Rates114d ago
Exxon Profit Surprises Analysts Despite Iran War — Inflationary Pressures Persist
Exxon Mobil's robust earnings defy geopolitical tumult, signaling enduring energy sector strength and complicating the Federal Reserve's disinflationary path.
MS Capital Secures $1 Billion China Mandate, Realigns EM Capital Flows
Macro & Rates131d ago
MS Capital Secures $1 Billion China Mandate, Realigns EM Capital Flows
Hedge fund MS Capital's new $1 billion mandate for China signals institutional re-evaluation of emerging market debt, potentially shifting global capital allocations
U.S.-Iran Stalemate Drives Dollar Index to Multi-Month High, Bonds Catch Bid
Macro & Rates133d ago
U.S.-Iran Stalemate Drives Dollar Index to Multi-Month High, Bonds Catch Bid
Failure of diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran has sparked a flight to safety, with the dollar strengthening and global bond yields compressing
Iran Ceasefire Eases Market Jitters as Bond Traders Eye Stubborn Inflation
Macro & Rates135d ago
Iran Ceasefire Eases Market Jitters as Bond Traders Eye Stubborn Inflation
While a ceasefire involving Iran provided temporary relief from geopolitical uncertainty, bond markets remain focused on persistent inflationary pressures
Hamas Rejection Fuels Geopolitical Risk, Yields Poised Higher
Macro & Rates140d ago
Hamas Rejection Fuels Geopolitical Risk, Yields Poised Higher
Hamas's explicit rejection of disarmament demands injects a significant geopolitical risk premium into global markets, threatening to re-ignite inflationary pressures and forcing central banks into a more hawkish stance.
Data vs. Dogma: FT Opinion Highlights Macro Risk from Narrative Overload
Macro & Rates142d ago
Data vs. Dogma: FT Opinion Highlights Macro Risk from Narrative Overload
The Financial Times cautions against succumbing to speculative narratives, a warning fixed-income veterans recognize as a critical threat to rational market pricing and central bank efficacy.